Tag: analysis

Analysis of Ukraine War and Trump’s options

~ ABN ~ Leave a comment

Here’s where things get interesting, and how President Trump navigates this will be epic to watch.

Vladimir Putin has a weapon the “west” cannot defend against.  It’s not part of his physical military armament, it’s far more powerful.  Putin has the truth as a weapon.

The western group must pretend they didn’t carry out a color revolution in Ukraine.  The western group must also pretend they didn’t install Volodymyr Zelenskyy.  The western group must also pretend there was not a civil war happening inside Ukraine for a decade, and the western group must pretend they didn’t try to provoke Vladimir Putin with expansions of NATO and an intentional breaking of the Minsk accords.  There are other pretenses that must be maintained, but those are the top ones.

Into this grand game of pretenses comes President Donald Trump, not exactly the best pretender (by choice) and Vladimir Putin not only knows this, but he also respects this Trump attribute of honesty in problem solving.

Keep in mind, President Putin watched how President Trump dealt with the “North Korea threat” problem that was left to him by President Obama.  Putin watched how Trump negotiated an exit to escalating conflict by honesty confronting China, the true hand on the puppet strings of the DPRK.

Putin saw in that North Korea geopolitical dynamic that President Trump dealt with Kim Jong-un with a brutally honest strategy that encompassed the influence of China.  While Putin is more allied currently with China, he knows President Trump cuts through the gordian knot woven by western interventionists.  Trump cuts through the gordian knot with honest and pragmatic policy.

As a result of this dynamic, everyone around President Trump, including the National Security Council, his National Security Advisor (Waltz), his CIA Director (Ratcliffe), and his State Dept Secretary (Rubio), all have to maintain the “western” pretenses that were/are cemented by the people and silos they replace.

The larger American government, sans President Trump, have to maintain all the aforementioned pretenses, in part because the Intelligence Community and the USA media support it, and in part because it would weaken the USA on the global stage to ever make honest admissions about our control of Ukraine.  And yes, that pretending dynamic includes Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg who President Trump appointed as special envoy for Russia and Ukraine.

Vladimir Putin’s strongest weapon is the truth.  Vladimir Putin also knows the auto-setting on President Trump’s psyche of problem solving, ie ‘optimal solutions’, is also centered on truth.

The proverbial $64,000 question: How does truthful President Trump deal with truthful President Putin, while all around the office of the White House are people who only know how to maintain pretenses?

That my friends, is going to be a very interesting dynamic to watch.

One way President Trump could gain back the power of not pretending is to: (1) request an immediate ceasefire; then (2) tell the CIA (Ratcliffe) to immediately withdraw all CIA operatives from Ukraine; then (3) tell Secretary Marco Rubio to pull all USAID operatives out of Ukraine; then (4) tell Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy he must hold a national election within 60 days.

If the U.S and NATO pull all of the control agents out of Ukraine and hold an election, the result will highlight the will of the Ukranian people to retain Volodymyr Zelenskyy.  If Zelenskyy wins, then he is in a stronger position.  If he loses, then he was never strong to begin with, and he’s the wrong person to be negotiating with.

Calling for an election in Ukraine is a radical approach because I think we all know what the outcome would be.  Then again, that’s the problem with pretending, when you stop you have to accept the transparently predictable forecast.

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Posted in full with permission from Sundance. I would add, very strongly, that it appears Trump is pursuing a real alliance with Russia. He is going over the heads of Europe and the lies of US diplomacy. This makes sense for many reasons provided in other posts on this site and also because Trump is simultaneously looking to annex Greenland and join Canada with USA. These are all deep game-theory moves that will, if successful, provide the strongest alliance in the world, the strongest alliance possible in this world. Europe will have to follow and join this alliance between USA and Russia. Many other northern countries, Japan etc, will also join. This would entail a major break or revision of the geopolitical Grand Chessboard game which centers on controlling Central Asia while destroying Russia, which is precisely what has been happening in Ukraine and Georgia. If Trump is successful in forming this alliance, everyone benefits — USA, Russia, Europe, Canada, Japan, Korea, etc. Putin surely can see this. The logic is strong and others will have no reasonable grounds to reject it. ABN

‘Let’s have free expression all over the Western World. That is the path to strong alliances in Europe’ — JD Vance

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This is the exact right move because it creates a strong alliance among we the people of the West. It’s a game theory move in that Vance draws a line which all but forces people to choose sides. It is a direct assertion of fundamental American values, calling for ‘free expression’ through reason and peace. To disagree is to marginalize yourself. Free speech is also a European value but it has been codified and emphasized less than in USA. Vance is proposing a very large win-win deal with the entire Western world. He is not wielding a military club, but a thoughtful one that aligns our populations at an elemental level. ABN

JD Vance on US Ukraine policy; a reply to Niall Ferguson

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This is moralistic garbage, which is unfortunately the rhetorical currency of the globalists because they have nothing else to say.

For three years, President Trump and I have made two simple arguments: first, the war wouldn’t have started if President Trump was in office; second, that neither Europe, nor the Biden administration, nor the Ukrainians had any pathway to victory. This was true three years ago, it was true two years ago, it was true last year, and it is true today.

And for three years, the concerns of people who were obviously right were ignored. What is Niall’s actual plan for Ukraine? Another aid package? Is he aware of the reality on the ground, of the numerical advantage of the Russians, of the depleted stock of the Europeans or their even more depleted industrial base?

Instead, he quotes from a book about George HW Bush from a different historical period and a different conflict. That’s another currency of these people: reliance on irrelevant history.  

President Trump is dealing with reality, which means dealing with facts. And here are some facts:

Number one, while our Western European allies’ security has benefitted greatly from the generosity of the United States, they pursue domestic policies (on migration and censorship) that offend the sensibilities of most Americans and defense policies that assume continued over-reliance.

Number two, Russians have a massive numerical advantage in manpower and weapons in Ukraine, and that advantage will persist regardless of further Western aid packages. Again, the aid is *currently* flowing.

Number three, the United States retains substantial leverage over both parties to the conflict.

Number four, ending the conflict requires talking to the people involved in starting it and maintaining it.

Number five, the conflict has placed–and continues to place–stress on tools of American statecraft, from military stockpiles to sanctions (and so much else). We believe the continued conflict is bad for Russia, bad for Ukraine, and bad for Europe. But most importantly, it is bad for the United States.

Given the above facts, we must pursue peace, and we must pursue it now. President Trump ran on this, he won on this, and he is right about this. It is lazy, ahistorical nonsense to attack as “appeasement” every acknowledgment that America’s interest must account for the realities of the conflict.

That interest–not moralisms or historical illiteracy–will guide President Trump’s policy in the weeks to come.

And thank God for that.

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I deeply hope Vance means what he says and says what he means. He is an excellent speaker, a talented politician, and I would like to support him. The worry is he may be controlled—like so many others—by powers we cannot easily see. Thune stepped up to do as he promised in getting Trump’s cabinet members approved. Only time will tell what Vance is made of. ABN

‘I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have unnecessarily died’ — Donald Trump

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Think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, talked the United States of America into spending $350 Billion Dollars, to go into a War that couldn’t be won, that never had to start, but a War that he, without the U.S. and “TRUMP,” will never be able to settle. The United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars more than Europe, and Europe’s money is guaranteed, while the United States will get nothing back. Why didn’t Sleepy Joe Biden demand Equalization, in that this War is far more important to Europe than it is to us — We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation. On top of this, Zelenskyy admits that half of the money we sent him is “MISSING.” He refuses to have Elections, is very low in Ukrainian Polls, and the only thing he was good at was playing Biden “like a fiddle.” A Dictator without Elections, Zelenskyy better move fast or he is not going to have a Country left. In the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the War with Russia, something all admit only “TRUMP,” and the Trump Administration, can do. Biden never tried, Europe has failed to bring Peace, and Zelenskyy probably wants to keep the “gravy train” going. I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have unnecessarily died – And so it continues…..

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A prosperous and peaceful world depends on a successful northern alliance between USA, Russia, Europe, Japan, Korea, Canada, Mongolia and anyone else who wants to join and is acceptable. This could be called the ‘Top of the World Alliance’. Its core is Western civilization. The game-theory and KOBK importance of this alliance is so obvious it proves itself. I hope this is where Trump is going and I hope he succeeds. For the moment, Europe can go fuck itself, they have been so stupid. At the end of the day, a Top of the World Alliance benefits all its partners as well as all other nations and regions on earth. Only this alliance is capable of world leadership while fostering peaceful global development. ABN

Assange on Jewish Supremacism

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The right term is Jewish Supremacism. An honest, moral Jew or Israeli is not included in the danger of Jewish Supremacy. What are the ratios of one to the other? That is a separate question. The ratio is probably high enough that all Jews in power or who seek power should be morally required to disavow Jewish Supremacy in any form. Not sure how this affects the Jewish religion today, which is based on the ‘chosenness’ of ancient Israelites. But this should be discussed and openly addressed by all Jews in the world today insofar as their public actions may be affected by their reasoning on this. With savage irony, it does appear that genetically, modern Palestinians are the world’s closest descendants of ancient Israelites. ABM

Trump signs bombshell executive order to make himself the most powerful president in history as he enacts controversial Constitutional theory

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Donald Trump has signed an executive order that could make him the most powerful president in history by using an obscure Constitutional theory to enact his vision of presidential authority. 

The new order seeks to ‘reign in independent agencies’ by seizing various departments that normally act in accordance with Congress and bring them under control of the executive branch in the White House. 

The order also states that the president and attorney general will interpret the law, leaving Trump free from Congressional and judicial oversight.  

Observers suggest that Trump is using unitary executive theory which grants the president a wide swath of authority. 

The conservative theory argues that Article II of the U.S. Constitution, which delineates presidential powers, gives the president sole authority over all the executive branch’s officials and employees. 

The unitary executive theory also claims the president has robust powers to override Congressional oversight on restrictions such as the ability to fire the heads of independent agencies. 

Trump’s new executive order grants him power over various agencies such as The Federal Communications Commission, the Federal Trade Commission and the Securities and Exchange Commission. 

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Trump’s first term proved the need for something like this. I support a strong presidency as long as Trump is in charge and as long as he does what needs to be done — clean the corruption, treason and woke rot out of the government. The NSA should already have detailed information on the gigantic parasite which has infested our government and nation. Whether Trump eradicates this parasite quietly or openly with fanfare, I do not care. I just want it gone. We live in an age of very rapid technological development. I believe it is best to face it straight on and use technology for the best as defined by American law and Western values. I trust Trump to be able to do this more than any other president in living memory. The choice before our nation today is do-or-die, as I see it. ABN

Beta-testing full surveillance state coming soon

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I definitely see the bad but some good may come of this. NSA has the data on the parasite which has infested our country. Used properly, they can target all of it simultaneously and remove it. This could happen with a big splash or be done quietly with almost no one noticing. Either way, the result would be a much cleaner and more efficient nation with much less violence. Time will tell. ABN

Allowing Ivermectin to be Available Over the Counter in Pennsylvania — Senator Doug Mastriano

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I am pleased to announce that I will be introducing legislation to allow ivermectin, a proven antiparasitic medication, to be sold over the counter (OTC) in Pennsylvania. This important proposal aims to enhance access to this safe and effective treatment for various parasitic conditions, empowering residents to manage their health more efficiently.

Ivermectin is an FDA-approved medication primarily used for treating infections such as river blindness, strongyloidiasis, scabies, and lice. With a long history of safe use, this legislation is designed to have a positive impact on public health, especially in underserved and rural communities.

Key benefits of this proposal include:

Increasing Access to Critical Medication: Residents will have faster access to ivermectin, reducing wait times and lessening dependency on healthcare providers for conditions that do not require extensive consultation. This is particularly beneficial for those in rural areas facing healthcare barriers.

Proven Safety and Effectiveness: Ivermectin has been extensively studied and shown to have minimal side effects when used as directed, making its topical formulations safe and easy to apply.

Supporting Public Health: Allowing OTC access could help control the spread of parasitic diseases like scabies, while also reducing the burden on healthcare systems by decreasing unnecessary emergency visits for manageable conditions.

Encouraging Health Autonomy: By removing the prescription requirement, individuals can take charge of their health regarding preventative care for minor conditions. Pennsylvania joins a growing movement, with states like Tennessee already passing similar legislation and others considering it. Countries including South Africa, Australia, and Mexico have successfully implemented OTC access to ivermectin as well.

It is time for Pennsylvania to make this necessary change. With proven efficacy and a strong safety record, enabling over-the-counter access to ivermectin will significantly benefit our communities.

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Note: Ivermectin used to be OTC in France, but was made prescription-only in early January 2020, before covid was widely known about. This is one of many suspicious details surrounding and presaging the plandemic. Removing an easy cure just before the plandemic was declared, looks very much like a setup for the vax as bioweapon. Some months after that, ivermectin was resolutely banned in the West, excoriated and mocked, y’all. Looking back on those days and those deadly, absurd policies, it is hard to believe covid itself plus the vaxxes, plus the forced hospitalizations and lethal treatments were not sinister acts of war against the people of the West (in particular). Others also suffered but the main target was clearly the West. ABN

Louisiana Dept Of Health ‘Will No Longer Promote Mass Vaccination’

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Following Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s confirmation as the secretary of Health and Human Services (HHS), the Louisiana Department of Health (LDH) confirmed that it “will no longer promote mass vaccination.”

The announcement by the LDH was sent out as an internal memo — ordering staff to end all media campaigns and promotions to encourage vaccinations.

“The State of Louisiana and LDH have historically promoted vaccines for vaccine preventable illnesses through our parish health units, community health fairs, partnerships and media campaigns,” wrote Louisiana’s Surgeon General Ralph Abraham.

“While we encourage each patient to discuss the risks and benefits of vaccination with their provider, LDH will no longer promote mass vaccination,” the memo continued.

The LDH also released a public statement, vowing to restore the public’s trust in the healthcare system following the previous COVID-19 mandates and lockdowns.

“For much of the last century, public health has taken it upon itself to fill the gaps in our broken healthcare system – providing guidance, information, and health recommendations. But when we get it wrong and overreach, the harm is often irreparable. Trust is built over years and lost in seconds, and we’re still rebuilding from the COVID missteps,” the announcement read.

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Very good news. Covid proved we the people are smarter than government bureaucrats and that free speech is better than government restricted speech. I hope everyone who lived through that era will always remember how much free speech and free choice in medicine matters. ABN

Silk Road merchants may have introduced cats to China 1400 years ago

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…an analysis of the largest ever collection of ancient cat bones in China—reported this month on the preprint server bioRxiv—suggests housecats may have arrived in the country around 600 C.E., hundreds of years after they set paw in Europe. They appear to have been brought by merchants from the West, traveling along the famed Silk Road.

“It’s a knockout study,” says Melinda Zeder, an archaeozoologist at the Smithsonian Institution’s National Museum of Natural History who was not involved with the work. Cats recently became the most popular pet in urban China, and the new research helps clarify how they first got there, she says. “Tying them to the Silk Road is really boffo.”

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There is no ballistic evidence that Crooks took any shots at Trump — John Cullen

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There is no ballistic or photographic evidence to indicate that “Thomas Crooks/Max Yearick” (the shooter on the roof of the AGR bldg) took any shots at President Trump.

The evidence indicates the shots at Trump came from elsewhere. The crack thump measurements put the 2nd volley of 5 rounds about 135 yards from the podium.

A> None of the rooftop shooter’s rounds were recovered

B> His body wasn’t aiming at Trump

C> None of the evidence from the rooftop (brass casings, rifle, optics, backpack, remote control, phones, etc ) can be entered as evidence, since the crime scene was compromised

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Nancy Mace makes stunning accusations of rape and sex trafficking in ‘scorched earth’ House floor speech

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Rep. Nancy Mace delivered an astonishing speech on the floor of the House Monday night where she said she had uncovered a ring of men who engaged in serial rape and sex trafficking while filming their victims.

The South Carolina Republican brought a series of props to the well of the House including handcuffs, cameras, a safe, and a drinking glass to illustrate her case, as she spoke for more than half an hour on the floor about the explosive allegations.

Mace said the glass served as a representation of how she says she was raped after blacking out when served two small vodka sodas.

She identified the alleged perpetrators by name – even giving the towns they live in – on the House floor during extended speaking time that had been yielded to her by the congressional Republican leadership.

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Mace describes a video of her being raped after having been given drugs. That’s a bad thing all around. I sympathize 100% and also would like to direct readers attention to the fact that millions of white people are drugged and lobotomized in a similar fashion across the West. Incapacitating our strongest young people is a major factor in why the West has become so passive and weak. A trained ghoul can perform a lobotomy in a few minutes using a hypodermic needle filled with ethanol, which is but one method. These are military attacks designed to weaken the West. If you can comprehend a group of bozos raping women after giving them roofies, as Mace describes, you can also comprehend a clandestine military force living inside the West doing psychosurgeries. The crime could start in a bar or a party and be done with roofies. It could be done with a gas or aerosol sedative in your car. A knock on the door followed by a knockout drug is yet another way. We cannot overcome this decades-long slow moving disaster within our civilization until we can fully comprehend what is happening. ABN

Totalitarianism is inevitable, expect it

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Two things are certain:

  1. technological advances cannot be stopped, only hidden for awhile
  2. KOBK game theory is always at play

Therefore, totalitarianism is inevitable. Advances in technology are now and will continue to be used by KOBK players against each other and against any and all potential rivals, including the masses.

That’s all there is to it. Nothing can stop it.

The only options are better or worse totalitarianism. I can imagine a fairly decent state with very low crime and a thriving population. I can also imagine something really bad.

A really bad state would lobotomize any potential enemy within, even for minor disruption. Lobotomies are already being used to control populations in many parts of the world, including USA. There will be even more of it. There will be less need to cut off your digital dollars or monitor your face because it’s much easier to simply lobotomize you without your permission or knowledge.

Who will be in ultimate control? Whichever group is strongest, most cohesive, most ruthless. How will we know them? Secrecy is to their advantage, so it’s highly probable we will never know who they are.

Who was in control of the Biden administration? Who controls US IC, Five Eyes? How much power do Jews really have? How much power do European royal families really have? How much power does Putin or Xi have?

Empires are inevitable due to the basic reality of KOBK game theory — that players in KOBK conflicts do not know for certain how powerful they are vis-a-vis their adversaries or how powerful their adversaries are. Moreover they do not know for certain the aims, motivations, and/or methods of their adversaries.

This is why hierarchies always grow and always strive to become more powerful. There is not going to be a multipolar world in any other sense than more than one empire competing with the other(s). Within each empire, totalitarianism. Total control. ABN