We’ve been quiet recently because Mark Goodwin and I have been working to write the most comprehensive investigation into Polymarket’s origins and ambitions to date.
We found that Polymarket’s “official” origin story, that Shayne Coplan founded the company alone in 2020 and then built “the company in his bathroom”, is a lie. Polymarket really started years earlier as another company called TokenBnk that was deeply tied to Israeli interests, specifically a crypto company founded by Benjamin Netanyahu’s niece and nephew. Coplan has actively tried to obfuscate this company from his story and it’s not the only thing either.
In Part 1 of this two-part series, we unravel the real history of Polymarket, directly connecting the company to Peter Thiel’s efforts to resurrect controversial DARPA programs from its now defunct Information Awareness Office. Polymarket appears to have been chosen by Thiel and his associates to succeed in resurrecting DARPA’s Policy Analysis Market where another Thiel-linked company, Augur, had previously failed.
Stay tuned for Part 2, where we explore the current influence of prediction markets and Polymarket, including how an insidious effort to have prediction markets replace representative democracy as a governance model is already being slowly implemented by the White House.
Read Part 1 here: The Secret History of Polymarket – Part 1
Two girls without a father in a continent full of imported predators
The Supreme Court just gutted the Deep State — Peter St Onge
Voting 6 to 3 to allow Trump to fire the “independent” bureaucrats who run most of the federal government.
This could hand voters everything from banking and elections to — dare we dream — the Federal Reserve.
Some boreal forest species fail to recover even 100 years after clearcutting
…Recovery depends on forest type
The first of its kind to examine such an extended timeline for recovery and a wide range of biotic groups in boreal forests after clear-cutting, the study analyzed 190 data sets across North America, Europe and Russia. The research looked at the biodiversity of communities within different forest types, including broadleaf trees like aspen or birch, coniferous trees like spruce or pine, and a mix of the two types.
In about half the cases studied, the biodiversity of the forest communities returned to pre-logged levels in less than 30 years, particularly in faster-growing broadleaf forests, where vascular plants and mosses either weren’t affected at all or recovered within 12 to 25 years.
But in mixed and coniferous forests, recovery was much slower, taking more than 55 years for small mammals such as mice and voles, 85 years for flowering plants, 95 years for lichens, and more than 100 years for mosses and liverworts. And beetles dependent on deadwood for survival showed no signs of recovery at all within the 16 to 29 years of existing data available for review.
‘Deep State operates quietly below surface’: Gabbard warns Americans of major threat in fiery speech
When do you think the next shoe (US-Mexico Trade Pact) drops?
Not long after July 20th. Sometime within the first two weeks of August is highest probability.
However, it depends on how far out on the ledge cult leader Mark Carney is willing to take his believers. We will enter the ‘Trump playing with them’ phase, just like Trump played with them in Jan, Feb, March ’25 over the 51st state stuff….. Trump will create turmoil, because he holds all the cards for when he triggers the next sequence of events.
Essentially, the landscape is already set up. The bleachers are already built. The venue is already selected…. The Canadians have no concept of it.
At a point determined by Trump he will invite them into the gauntlet. There is no escape and only one way in.
Carney sits down at the table, Trump announces his demands, Carney balks, Trump glances to Greer, Greer hands Carney the formal exit paperwork and then suddenly everyone around Carney realizes what just happened. Trump set up a CUSMA trap.
A six-month countdown clock now ticks loudly. Trump repeats his demands. Carney looks around at his trade delegation, then asks for a few moments. They leave to huddle….
In the Canadian conference room, someone tells the group a six-month exit is now active. The walls are slowly closing.
If no terms are accepted, in six months all U.S. trade with Canada is immediately laissez-faire, no trade agreement backstops anything, meaning every trade is subject to the sectoral whims of the USA commerce department to outline the terms.
Carney asks his team what is happening. Trump tells them to take all the time in the world to think about it, and to give Jamieson or Howard a call if they have questions.
Trump and Greer then hold a press conference, telling the world the formal exit paperwork has now been issued. However, the U.S and Mexico already have a bilateral deal outlined and ready to begin, so U.S-Mexico trade is seamless. The only issue is Canada.
The following day analysts, economists, banking and finance experts begin running the numbers for Canada…… A slow and unstable Canadian economy collapse begins first with a run on the banks by Canadian dollar holders. Everyone needs to buy USD.
Europe and the U.K try to step in to assist by buying Canadian bonds….. but the risk is astronomical.
75% of Canada’s economy is based on trade that is now uncertain.
Suddenly the team around Carney look at things differently. They realize Canada doesn’t sell 75% of their output to the USA; the USA buys 75% of Canadian output.
In every economic relationship, the seller has no leverage. All leverage belongs to the buyer.
The seller can sell anything, but without buyers they are nothing. In a laissez-faire system suddenly U.S. buyers start to dictate terms and prices. The seller has no option. Life inside Canada is FUBAR.
The Chinese move quickly, buying up Canadian holdings for pennies on the ever-diminishing CAD.
The ‘shoe drops’ sometime after July 20th.
Canada cannot see the gauntlet.
Canadians will willingly want China to buy their assets instead of Americans
Why? Because the Canadian identity is defined by their main focus on ‘not being American.’ It’s all they know.
I can tell you specifically how it will materialize if you want, because I have already gamed this out. You might even make some money if you pay attention.
Toyota and Honda will do exactly what they have said they will do and exit Canadian manufacturing.
With full approval by Carney and the Canadian government, BYD and Geely will step in, purchase and take over those manufacturing plants to create vehicles in Canada (pennies on the CAD).
Canada will cheer because they will believe they just saved all those auto sector jobs. However, a few reality months later and suddenly it is all Chinese industrial operations bringing in Chinese workers to retool the factories.
Canada will end up paying unemployment benefits to Canadian workers, while Chinese factory workers prepare the facilities to manufacture BYD and Geely autos. The Canadian people will grit their teeth, yet do nothing because they accept their provincial government has already been corrupted by Chinese money.
Gaza archive
Soon you are going to see our posters on the streets of Europe!
Social Security is going bust in just 6 years — Peter St Onge
RINO in Congress are using that to push a $1.5 trillion slush fund to piss away on donors and activists.
New Bipartisan Bill Seeks to Outlaw Criticism of Israel and Jewish Power
…In May and June, a bipartisan coalition of 15 House Republicans and 14 Democrats formally sponsored the Jewish American Security Act (JASA), a piece of legislation that if passed would constitute one of the most sweeping attacks on the First Amendment in American history. The bill enjoys practically universal backing from Jewish non-profits and Zionist activist groups.
The new law presents four major demands: the appointment of a specialized Anti-Semitism commissar to manage the Department of Education’s campaign combating pro-Palestinian activism on college campuses, a $1 billion dollar cash injection to “secure” Zionist non-profits and Jewish houses of worship, mandatory state monitoring of online social media platforms in order to force them to censor “anti-Semitic” political speech on their platforms, and officially reorienting the mission of the FBI, Department of Homeland Security, and National Counterintelligence and Security Center as instruments for targeting critics of Jews and Israel as foreign enemy actors and domestic terrorists.
On the education front, JASA strengthens and makes permanent Donald Trump’s Executive Order 14188 (“Additional Measures to Combat Antisemitism”), which emphasizes that Israelis are a protected class above criticism under the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Under executive orders signed by Joe Biden and Donald Trump, this interpretation of the law has been used to weaponize access to federal subsidies to American higher learning institutions in order to shut down pro-Palestinian and anti-war activism among students.
In addition to having an “Antisemitism Coordinator” micro-manage this ongoing war on dissent, JASA calls for a “public awareness campaign” that will plaster propaganda posters in “high-traffic public places, such as a cafeteria, gymnasium, or student center, and digital posting on 1 or more high-traffic institution web pages, such as a web page for a student services department” warning students and professors about the consequences of partaking in speech and activism that offends Jews or singles out Israel.
Trump has run the same play his whole life: he gets rich while the people who believed in him go broke
Trump has run the same play his whole life: he gets rich while the people who believed in him go broke. His financial disclosure was released today. All 927 pages of it. Turns out, all of you who bought Trump’s meme coin got wrecked while he cashed out big. Let’s start with the crypto. Part 1: Crypto Crypto is now Trump’s #1 source of income. Bigger than every hotel, tower, and golf course he owns COMBINED. Last year Trump personally made ~ $1.4 BILLION from crypto, but the regular people got crushed: – His
$TRUMP meme coin collapsed from $75 to $1.68. In the first weeks alone, about 813,000 wallets lost roughly $2 BILLION. – His World Liberty token fell 80%+, and most small buyers were LOCKED and couldn’t even sell while insiders got out. – For every $1 the insiders made in fees, small traders lost about $20. Red flags identified so far:
He and his partners control ~80% of the meme coin supply. The house always wins. He’s literally treating it like his bankrupted casinos.
He pocketed ~$320M in trading fees off the same people losing their money.
He personally deregulates the exact industry paying him a billion dollars a year.
And one of the most alarming ones to me. It’s a foreign cash pipe. An Abu Dhabi state fund ran $2B through his stablecoin, and 3 of every 4 of his top coin holders are foreign. So, anyone, anywhere, can pay the president anonymously using this structure. It’s the same man with the same pattern as all previous bankruptcies, just new victims with a new scheme.
There is some pushback at the link above. I am noot well-informed on these natters but post this since it is part of our world today. ABN






