President Trump appeared for an extensive interview with Maria Bartiromo on Fox Business. The interview is essentially broken down into two interrelated contexts, the Iran conflict and the overall economic issues. There are two segments, in this post we focus on the first segment.
Here Trump is discussing the overall economy and there is an unusual dynamic in the background. As the Iran conflict unsettles the oil/gas markets and the overall global energy sector, there are two facets to the USA impact.
On one hand, say the Main Street side, Trump understands the price of gasoline is being impacted by the overall price of oil. For Americans the increase in gasoline price is moderate compared to the rest of the world; however, each dollar spent on gasoline is a dollar the middle-class doesn’t have to spend on something else. That can have a negative impact on GDP overall, but the dollar spent stays in the U.S. economy.
On the other hand, say the Wall Street side, Trump also understand as more global markets seek to export U.S. oil, the U.S. energy sector expands GDP through increased export value. In my estimation, the Quarter #2 GDP is expanding at a much higher rate (due to the export of Oil/Gas) than the internal impact from higher gas prices. I expect to see significant increases in GDP growth as a result. Those Q2 calculations will come at the end of July this year.
Trump also hits on a good -albeit politically incorrect-point about the preceding illegal alien influx, supported by Joe Biden. The economic migrants who entered the country illegally were not -as a whole- the type of migrant looking to be responsible for their own economic outcome. These were illegal aliens comfortable with govt handouts and govt subsidies. This is why it remains critical for the U.S. economy to capture and deport those who entered illegally during that period.
The Trump administration is seeking to get other nations to cut back on global humanitarian aid and ‘promote America First values’ by investing in US companies, according to new reports.
The ‘trade over aid’ initiative will be an opportunity to use the United Nations system to ‘create business opportunities for US companies,’ per a cable sent to all US embassies and consulates.
In the cable reviewed by The Washington Post, Secretary of State Marco Rubio ordered all US diplomats to issue a démarche – an official call to action – to all foreign nations by Monday that asks them to support the new initiative.
The US plans to introduce this idea at the UN at the end of April, according to the cable.
‘For decades, government aid has been flowing from developed to developing countries with only limited impact,’ according to one of the notes the outlet obtained.
‘It has not solved the world’s economic development challenges, and it has often created dependency, inefficiency, and corruption.’
‘Donors and developing countries are ready to try a new development aid model,’ the note continued.
Even before Trump returned to power in 2025, Western nations including Germany, Sweden, Canada and Norway have been reducing foreign aid since at least 2022.
And since Trump’s proposed reordering of the global aid system, France, Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom have largely followed suit.
Data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) found that aid from its members has dropped by about 23 percent from 2024 to 2025.
Asia is collectively rejecting the Israeli-American War against Iran and preparing for the post-American era in the Eastern Hemisphere.
Japanese crude oil tankers are heading east toward the Strait of Hormuz. These vessels are assembling with others at the entrance to the waterway during the ceasefire between the United States and Iran.
Meanwhile, Republic of Korea (ROK) Foreign Minister Cho Hyun is sending a special envoy to Iran to discuss bilateral concerns between the ROK and Iran, and to clarify navigation problems in the Strait of Hormuz.
Spain is reopening its Embassy in Tehran. Madrid is walking away from Washington and toward Tehran. Soon Spain’s walk will become a European sprint.
These developments make it difficult but not impossible for Washington to restart the war for Israel. But if Washington resumes the offensive they risk blowing up the world economy in what the international community will view as Washington’s sabotage of Iran’s “Istanbul moment.”
Key Insight: TACO is not a literal game but a strategic behavioral model reflecting how unpredictable leadership can create exploitable patterns in financial markets.
TACO in game theory primarily refers to the “Trump Always Chickens Out” (TACO) theory, a meme-based investment and political strategy concept. It describes a pattern where former U.S. President Donald Trump makes aggressive policy announcements—such as imposing high tariffs or threatening military actions—only to reverse course when markets react negatively, often leading to a rebound in stock prices. This behavior creates a predictable market expectation: buy assets when Trump makes a threatening move, as the market will likely recover after he “chickens out.”
This theory is rooted in game theory, where both Trump and financial markets are seen as players in a strategic interaction. If markets know Trump will back down, they may not panic—yet a small initial reaction is necessary for him to receive the signal that his actions are destabilizing. As noted by Nate Silver, this creates a mixed-strategy equilibrium: Trump must sometimes follow through on threats to maintain credibility, while markets must react to some degree to signal their concerns.
Recent developments (as of March 2026) suggest the TACO theory has become more viral, potentially leading Trump to stick to more extreme positions to prove he isn’t bluffing, increasing market volatility. The concept has been analyzed in financial media, including Bloomberg and the Financial Times, and is often linked to the broader “Trump Put” idea—where markets assume he will intervene to stabilize the economy.
The Ukrainian-American entrepreneur, who acquired OnlyFans in 2018, passed away peacefully on March 20 in Pompano Beach, Florida, after a long illness, the company confirmed Monday. Radvinsky, worth up to $8 billion, turned the platform into a revenue machine that paid creators billions and delivered him over $700 million in dividends last year alone. His family has asked for privacy, leaving the company’s future leadership uncertain as reactions pour in from shock to tributes for his business achievements.
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Radvinsky reportedly was the top donor to AIPAC. ABN
Iran fired two ballistic missiles at a joint US-UK military base in the Indian Ocean just hours after Keir Starmer gave the green light for Donald Trump to use UK-based bombers threatening the Straits of Hormuz.
The move prompted Tehran to warn the Prime Minister he had placed British lives ‘in danger’ by consenting to Trump’s request to use B-52s and other aircraft flying out of RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia to blast Iranian missile sites in the strategically important waterway.
Multiple US officials confirmed to the outlet that neither missile had struck the base. Two sources said one of the missiles failed in flight, while the other was intercepted by a US warship, but the action is a concerning development in the third week of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Two deep points worth mentioning: 1) Trump is doing Netanyahu’s bidding because he fears Jewish Supremists will kill or harm him or members of his family; and 2) Starmer, who appears to be a Jewish Supremist, is purposely destroying Britain through the mass invasion of migrants. Starmer is Jewish but you do not need to be Jewish to be a Jewish Supremist. Some 50 million Zionist Christians in USA are fundamentally Jewish Supremists. They are at the bottom of the JS pyramid, but they are JS nonetheless and will be harmed or killed like Charlie Kirk if they turn against JS. This is the deep fact at the heart of what is now WW3 destroying the world economy. The more people understand this, the better our chances for a better world. JS do not care about anyone else’s blood, treasure or land. They only care about their own blood, treasure and land, which is ultimately, in their fantasies, the entire world once everyone else is killed or enslaved. ABN
Joe Kent said the same in his interview with Tucker, below. Trump surely also fears for his family. Recall, Netanyahu gifted an Israeli-made cellphone to Trump. That was a blatant threat. He also gave a bunch of US Congress people Israeli-made cellphones some months ago. McGovern says these threats against Trump [and all of the US elite, I would add] are the real story here. Yes, it is. That’s the real story. A Jewish Supremist gang controls when and where USA goes to war and everyone at the top is afraid of being killed if they disagree. ABN
Absolute bombshell. Mearsheimer reveals Trump secretly allowed Iran to sell its oil to keep global prices under 100 dollars. But Israel intentionally bombed Iranian gas fields to ruin the plan, sending prices skyrocketing and destroying the US economy. pic.twitter.com/Of4ScS0pmR
Trump’s off-ramp from this war is control the Israelis with real threats of leaving them on their own to prevent precisely what just happened. This is a very short version of what Joe Kent says at the end of his interview below with Carlson. ABN
Japan will invest to increase crude oil production in Alaska as part of the $550 billion (87 trillion yen) tariff agreement with the United States and also stockpile the reserves produced in the U.S. state.
Sources said Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and U.S. President Donald Trump will announce the plan when they meet in Washington, D.C., on March 19.
Japan will purchase the additional crude oil produced in Alaska as part of its effort to reduce its heavy dependence on Middle East oil. Currently about 90 percent of Japan’s crude oil imports comes from that region.
Well-worth viewing. Shows Trump has a plan and it looks good. I would add that Israel’s constant disruptions of the Middle East may also be coming to an end, and may also be part of Trump’s plan. He gave Bibi what Bibi wanted, or thought he wanted, but the result appears to be a degradation of Israel’s status and possibly the end of their Greater Israel fantasies. ABN
Iran said Saturday that all countries besides the US and Israel may pass through the Strait of Hormuz, in a desperate attempt at coalition busting less than a day after the US bombed military targets on its oil-critical Kharg Island.
“As a matter of fact, the Strait of Hormuz is open,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said.
“It is only closed to the tankers and ships belong[ing] to our enemies, to those who are attacking us and their allies. Others are free to pass,” Araghchi told MS NOW.
American Buddhist Net 