Tag: game theory
Ground invasion launched against Iran as thousands of US-backed Kurdish fighters storm border
The Kurdish militias, based across the border in Iraq, began the offensive in northwestern Iran on Wednesday.
President Donald Trump on Sunday night spoke with the heads of Kurdish militant groups in Iraq to discuss the situation in Iran.
The CIA was exploring plans to arm the Kurdish forces with the aim of sparking a popular uprising in Iran, CNN reported Tuesday.
The Kurdish groups are widely seen as the most well-organized segment of the fragmented Iranian opposition and are believed to have thousands of trained fighters.
Their entry into the war could pose a significant challenge to the besieged authorities in Tehran and could also risk pulling Iraq further into the conflict.
Asked earlier about Kurdish involvement, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth told reporters: ‘None of our objectives are premised on the support or the arming of any particular force.
‘So, what other entities may be doing, we’re aware of, but our objectives aren’t centered on that.’
My guess is the US/Israeli goal is to divide Iran into smaller nations, which will be easier for them to control, while also posing less of a threat to Israel. The Ukraine War has been a similar event in that the ultimate goal is to dismember Russia and divide it into smaller nations. ABN
UPDATE: Most analysts are saying it is not possible for Israel/USA to break up Iran into smaller countries. Or to do that to Russia. But the long-term NATO encroachment against Russia has fundamentally had that goal in mind since the fall of the Soviet Union. We see the same goal for Iran today. I do see how they have failed in Ukraine and are failing in Iran, but their ace card is to use nukes in Iran and see what happens after that vis-a-vis Russia. The elitists doing this are hellbent on world domination and are still going for it now, just as they have been all along. In their minds, there is nothing to stop them from using nukes. Indeed, it seems probable that their strategy is to allow Iran to cause so much damage in Israel and the Gulf states that using nukes will strike many as a good move. At the core of this onslaught lies Jewish Supremacy, a hardheaded self-deceiving fanatical meta-cognitive doctrine couched in intransigent religious terms. Thirty to fifty million Americans have fallen for it along with a majority of Jews, many of whom have deeply infiltrated USA. ABN
Every major US base across the Gulf has been systematically and methodically destroyed
The New York Times — not a Telegram channel, not a Russian state broadcaster, the New York Times — has published satellite imagery confirming what Iran said it was doing while Washington was busy telling you it wasn’t working. Every major US base across the Gulf. Systematically and methodically.
Bahrain, Fifth Fleet headquarters, the nerve centre of American naval power in the region. Al Udeid Qatar — already missing its $1.1 billion AN/TPY-2 radar. Camp Arifjan Kuwait. Ali Al Salem. Prince Sultan in Saudi Arabia. UAE facilities. SATCOM terminals destroyed. Radomes cracked open. Satellite dishes gone. Missile tracking infrastructure — the AN/TPY-2 radar systems that coordinate every Patriot and THAAD battery in theater — targeted with what the imagery confirms was not luck but architecture.
Iran didn’t just strike US bases. It mapped the communication and coordination layer that makes American missile defense function as a unified system and then it peeled it apart, base by base, across five countries simultaneously.
This is not retaliation but doctrine. Thirty years of studying exactly how the American military machine sees, communicates, and coordinates and then, when the moment came, going straight for the eyes. The interceptors are blind. The magazines are depleted. The Navy can’t guarantee escorts in the Strait. Raytheon is being summoned to emergency meetings. South Korea is sitting exposed. And the New York Times just put the satellite pictures on the front page.
Washington built the most expensive military architecture in human history. Iran just showed you the blueprint for how to dismantle it. This is not going according to plan.



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‘This is not going according to plan’. Unless it is; in which case, the real plan is to disrupt the entire region in preparation for dismembering Iran and probably using nukes to do that. The deep plan appears to be break Iran into a number of smaller countries, each with its own ethnic or religious group. This will make the entire region much easier to control. Israel is surely planning to become the hegemon of the region with USA fully backing it. A similar plan is what they have wanted for Russia all along — smash it into numerous smaller states. The deep reason for the Ukraine War is to do that. What are their chances for pulling this off? Probably pretty good. ABN
The Bigger Picture: Iran Conflict – Oil Disruption Hits Key BRICS Members Hard
Consider the severe economic body blows to China in the past 14 months.
♦ First blow, the Trump tariffs hit Beijing hardest. ♦ Second blow, the Beijing tentacle on the Panama Canal is severed. ♦ Third blow, global tariff threats changed the risk dynamic for southeast Asia countries who acted as transnational shippers for China. ♦ Fourth blow, cheap sanctioned oil from Venezuela was cut-off. ♦ Now, the fifth blow; cheap, sanctioned Iranian oil is disrupted.
It’s not just a factor of oil flow, but also the price that China will ultimately end up having to pay. Beijing was buying oil from Venezuela, Iran and Russia at steep discounts because their purchases were skirting western sanctions.
With Iranian oil production now no longer a market option, China will seek to replace their needs with more Russian alternative. However, that diversion means the oil India was purchasing from Russia will come at a higher price, and the refined final product that was exported by India will arrive to the European Union carrying an additional cost.
Simultaneously, Vladimir Putin was asked about Russia’s lack of military support to Iran in response to the U.S. military action, to wit the Russian president noted the technical terms of their joint military agreements did not include Russia’s immediate involvement. In shorthand, Russia is busy and is not getting involved.
Russia was/is partially dependent on receiving military supplies from Iran in exchange for oil transfers. The military component is reported to include drones from Iran for use in the Ukraine conflict. Now that exchange profile is shuttered.
Taking Iran’s malign influence off the geopolitical chessboard is beginning to surface in major challenges to the BRICS assembly (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa). Russia, China and India are impacted directly.
The BRICS nations were skirting western oil sanctions by trading the commodity outside the petrodollar structure. However, President Trump now controls the flow of oil from Venezuela, and his administration controls the currency in which it is sold.
With Iranian oil removed from the non-petro supply chain, the only remaining non-petro oil producer is Russia – who is simultaneously hit with a loss in military hardware support. China may end up as a larger oil customer to Russia, but at what price and in what payment structure.
With global oil supplies in a state of flux, and with the USA in control of the oil flow from Venezuela, North America is certainly in the best position for minimal energy disruption.
Asia is heavily dependent on oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, and the majority of Europe has already shut themselves off from Russian oil production, putting themselves in a position of dependency to the global markets. The short-term ramifications of this oil disruption hit China, Southeast Asia, Japan and Europe particularly hard.
This article probably describes how the Trump admin is thinking. ABN
Gulf states could run out of anti-drone rockets in four days as Iranian strikes continue across five countries
Gulf states facing an Iranian drone blitz may only have enough anti-drone defence missiles to last four days.
In a tactic that has surprised the US and its allies, Iran has responded to attempts to force regime change by raining down missiles and drones on its neighbours.
By spreading strikes across more than five countries at once and sustaining over 2,500 drones per day, Tehran is forcing its adversaries to divide their defences.
A source told the Daily Mail: ‘At the current rates the supplies could run out within four days.
‘The interceptors are being used at an unprecedented speed.’
The vast majority of Iranian projectiles have been blocked, but only a few need to breach the defences of Gulf nations to change the perception of the conflict.
That was brought home last night as footage of a thunderous explosion outside the US consulate in Dubai was shared online.
Shahed drones favoured by Iran can be produced more cheaply than the state-of-the-art defensive systems purchased by the UAE, Bahrain and other states from US manufacturers.
A single Iranian drone can cost as little as £26,000 to produce, researchers say, while intercepting it can cost anywhere up to £3million.
Iran’s strategy of ‘flooding the zone’ with drones and missiles seems beyond obvious. Moreover, there are articles from years ago on their underground missile storage sites scattered across the country. So, USA and Israel had to know about this. Then they must have prepared for it. If so, these stories about insufficient anti-drone and anti-missile ordnance must be a ruse. If USA and Israel knew and did not prepare for this, that is too stupid for words. I do not know what the story is, but weapons supplies are major strategic factors, so this cannot be attributed to confusion or the fog of war. If the purported lack of anti-drones is a strategic ruse on the part of USA and Israel, I wonder what purpose it serves. It may be that, USA and Israel want Iran to cause massive destruction throughout the region, thus setting up Israel, and maybe USA, to use nukes against Iran. That is probably what they are doing. It’s a sort of contrived or concealed false-flag against themselves to win public approval for nuking Iran. Using nukes against Iran will send a strong warning to Russia, China and the world. ABN
Ending the Infinity War — Scott Ritter
…The End Game?
While it is still early in the conflict, Iran appears to have maintained military momentum despite high-profile assassinations of senior Iranian military officials and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei. Claims that regime change objectives have stalled reflect the absence, thus far, of visible elite fragmentation inside Iran.
Moreover, Iran has targeted regional energy and infrastructure, plus threatened maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. Any sustained closure of the strait would represent a major escalation; at present, the waterway is all but closed — with ships avoiding it due to insurance risk and increasingly threatening statements from Iranian officials.
Iran appears prepared for a conflict that could extend for months. By contrast, US and Israeli planning assumptions appeared to expect to be able to wrap up operations in days or weeks. The legality of the initial strikes also remains contested, and this issue is likely to shape international diplomatic pressure as economic consequences mount.
The question is whether Gulf Arab states may reassess aspects of their security relationships depending on perceptions of US deterrence credibility; Washington may confront force posture and sustainability challenges if the conflict becomes protracted.
The international community is likely to press for de-escalation, but the Iranian government sees this conflict as an existential threat, so any termination terms would need to reflect that calculation, or the war will not end.
Scott Ritter: Iran’s Missiles OBLITERATE Tel Aviv, Khamenei’s Death BACKFIRES on Trump
Larry Johnson : Trump’s Colossal Mistake
Around 90% of Iran’s oil exports go to China — Ken Cao
Around 90% of Iran’s oil exports go to China. Why? It’s cheap and it can be settled in RMB, bypassing the U.S. dollar system entirely.
Iran gets yuan, then spends most of it buying Chinese machinery, electronics, and industrial goods. The money flows right back to Beijing.
Much of that Iranian crude even enters China labeled as “Malaysian blended oil.” On paper, it’s Malaysia. In reality, it’s Iran.
To dodge U.S. sanctions, China keeps its major banks away from the deals. Instead, transactions are routed through smaller institutions like Kunlun Bank — controlled by CNPC and based in Xinjiang.
It’s a sanctions workaround, a currency experiment, and a geopolitical lifeline all rolled into one.
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This is surely a major piece of the war with Iran puzzle. ABN
Truman on Israel – Palestine
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It has only gotten worse and worse and worse since then. USA and the entire West are infested with violent, implacable Jewish Supremists who are driven by lust for power and entirely organized around that lust. Our political elites are completely controlled by Jewish Supremists. Our only relief will come from widespread public acknowledgement and understanding of the root cause of our ongoing demise. Do not waste time on clickbait garbage like I am so done with Trump or only Christ can save us now or Imma gonna move to the woods; because all we have left is public understanding, the collective understanding and will of the public. It’s not much, but it’s all we have. Public understanding took down the Soviet Union. (Which slithered over and morphed into the EU and CIA, which is yet another angle on the infernal JS story). ABN
John Mearsheimer: ‘The idea that Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, who are two ardent Zionists deeply committed to Israel, are negotiating on our behalf with Iran is outrageous’
COL. Douglas Macgregor : A Long War Will Come Soon
The deep roots of Jewish Supremist mind-control appear to have spread far beyond Ghislaine and Robert Maxwell, allegedly

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If true, and it probably is, this video describes a doozy. The most dangerous elite gang in USA and the West is Jewish Supremists. They are trained to lie and cheat and will stop at nothing to grow their power. Many today can see the general outline of their savagery, but few know about the covert violence they do against young people they identify as potential rivals. The violence is a covert military strategy, a sort of silent terrorism designed to destroy individuals and the communities they belong to. It is directed especially against boys and young men. Any JS who is envious of any non-Jew can place them on their JS destroy list to be poisoned, lobotomized, or otherwise maimed and disabled. It does not matter to them if the person they attack is innocent because by striking down promising young people, entire communities are demoralized. The more they do that, the more demoralized the West becomes. Many women today wonder, where are the men? Why have they stopped protecting us? A major reason is JS covert military attacks have taken them out. It is important to understand that these kinds of attacks, even when done on a large scale, are extremely difficult to prove or even to notice. Alert readers, please use your brains. Think like a warrior to understand what is happening. Here’s an example of what they do — drug someone, usually a boy or young man; then inject a dose of pure ethanol into their forebrain. That is a chemical lobotomy. It takes just minutes to perform. We all know many women and men are raped after being drugged. The JS lobotomy attack is the same except for the details of what is done. As the West wastes away, somebody in power must understand this or we are doomed. And chemical lobotomy is but one of their many tactics. ABN
Following a Court Ruling, The Government of Panama Has Taken Back Control Over Both Entrances to the Panama Canal – Cancelled Chinese Contracts
The highest court in Panama has nulled the ‘Chinese’ contract for the operation of both entrance ports on the Panama Canal. The Panamanian government took back control and assigned operations to APM Terminals, a subsidiary of the Danish group A.P. Moller-Maersk.
The state takeover comes after a 14-month long saga begun by President Trump who reasserted American interests in the hemisphere and rejected the concept of allowing China to have strategic control over such vital North American infrastructure.
Our brains take time to update unless we are shown the update
Our perception is continuously biased toward the past to help stabilize the chaotic world we live in.
Watch the video below (1 min, 32 sec) to see this illusion in real-time:
This video illustrates how our brains ignore change or incorporate it into our perceptions somewhat slowly through a “continuity field,” as described below:
Our brains are constantly uploading rich, visual stimuli. But instead of seeing the latest image in real time, we actually see earlier versions because our brain’s refresh time is about 15 seconds, according to new UC Berkeley research.
The findings, appearing in the journal Science Advances, add to a growing body of research about the mechanism behind the “continuity field,” a function of perception in which our brain merges what we see on a constant basis to give us a sense of visual stability.
“If our brains were always updating in real time, the world would be a jittery place with constant fluctuations in shadow, light and movement, and we’d feel like we were hallucinating all the time,” said study senior author David Whitney, a UC Berkeley professor of psychology, neuroscience and vision science.
link
The study—Illusion of visual stability through active perceptual serial dependence—focuses on the illusion of visual stability:
Despite a noisy and ever-changing visual world, our perceptual experience seems stable over time. How does our visual system achieve this apparent stability? Here, we introduce a previously unknown visual illusion that shows direct evidence for a mechanism continuously smoothing our percepts over time.
As a result, a continuously seen physically changing object can be misperceived as unchanging.
In the video above, you can notice two things: 1) the slowness and blurriness of our perceptual change as we watch the video, and 2) that we can and do accept that change the moment it is shown to us in comparative stills.
If vision behaves this way, it is fair to assume our psychologies or, more precisely, our psychological memories do something similar on both points.
I was intrigued to see that the authors of the study calculated a time-span of 15 seconds:
We find that online object appearance is captured by past visual experience up to 15 seconds ago.
This is roughly the ‘speed’ or duration of our working memories.
FIML works most of all with the working memory because when we correct a mistake in our working memory or upgrade the data in our working memory while it is still present, we are able to make large changes in our psychologies almost effortlessly.
FIML leverages the working memory to make large changes in our whole brain memories.
It works well because changing your working memory to fit the obvious reality staring you in the face is easy.
In contrast changing whole brain memories and psychologies through rumination and recollection typically only entrenches them further and deeper.
While it is easy to see how this happens visually as in the video above, it may be difficult to see how to do this with our complex psychologies as they are functioning in real-time.
FIML completely solves this problem and yet it may be hard to see how and why.
It works like this:
The how is done by pausing real-life in real-time so you can compare your own mind’s percept with your partner’s percept of the same thing and make corrections as warranted.
The why is psychologically analogous to correcting the illusions produced by our brains “continuously smoothing our percepts over time.” This “continuously smoothing over time” prevents wholesome, realistic change. It lies at the heart of many psychological problems.

