“I happen to be in the morbidity business; I’m the CEO of a large insurance group, and we underwrite morbidity risk … Based on what it is we are seeing, the rates right now, excess mortality at 84%, and excess every kind of disease at 1100%”

I happen to be in the morbidity business; I'm the CEO of a large insurance group, and we underwrite morbidity risk … Based on what it is we are seeing, the rates right now, excess mortality at 84%, and excess every kind of disease at 1100%" https://t.co/jqOBalQLrV

Originally tweeted by RisingPhoenix78 (@RedPhoenix1978) on June 1, 2022.

FLASHBACK 2005: Why Most Published Research Findings Are False: John P. A. Ioannidis

There is increasing concern that most current published research findings are false. The probability that a research claim is true may depend on study power and bias, the number of other studies on the same question, and, importantly, the ratio of true to no relationships among the relationships probed in each scientific field. In this framework, a research finding is less likely to be true when the studies conducted in a field are smaller; when effect sizes are smaller; when there is a greater number and lesser preselection of tested relationships; where there is greater flexibility in designs, definitions, outcomes, and analytical modes; when there is greater financial and other interest and prejudice; and when more teams are involved in a scientific field in chase of statistical significance. Simulations show that for most study designs and settings, it is more likely for a research claim to be false than true. Moreover, for many current scientific fields, claimed research findings may often be simply accurate measures of the prevailing bias. In this essay, I discuss the implications of these problems for the conduct and interpretation of research.

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I, for one, am sadly very confident this has only gotten worse during covid. ABN

Plato and The Big Picture: Robert Malone

“…one thing that we have become acutely and very personally aware of is that there seems to be a movement in modern society to avoid information, theories or opinions which trigger cognitive dissonance and the associated psychological pain.  Often associated with terms such as “cancel culture”, “virtue signaling” and “woke-ism”, this movement appears to have manifested as a belief system which holds that the individuals as well as the collective body politic have a fundamental right to intellectual protection, to not encounter unpleasant thoughts, information or ideas which are inconsistent with their internal model of reality. These are the intellectual roots which nurture censorship, denialism, and the weaponized gaslighting, defamation and slander, as well as the idea that anything which causes individuals to lose faith in their government constitutes domestic terrorism and should be treated as such.  There is a long and rich human history of punishment by death for such dissident thoughtcrimes. I suggest that these behaviors and actions are among the ugliest manifestations of the tribal human tendency to reject those who are willing to speak inconvenient truths, and that this tendency has always been a dark reactionary aspect of the processes by which scientific and medical knowledge advance.”

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Behold: The First Image of Our Galaxy’s Central Black Hole

The Event Horizon Collaboration, the group behind the first-ever image of a black hole, just achieved another huge accomplishment: an image of Sagittarius A*, the black hole at the center of the Milky Way. This is a breakthrough in our understanding of our home galaxy and the astrophysics of its center.

The Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) is a consortium of radio telescopes around the world. By combining the observations of these telescopes, the team is able to see black holes, regions of spacetime with such intense gravity that not even light can escape them. The image released today shows the shadow of Sagittarius A* (pronounced “A star”) as well as the high-energy region around it.

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URGENT PFIZER NEWS: “Pfizer and the CDC committed fraud for willfully withholding critical data from the public resulting in harm and death to thousands. The CDC is spreading medical misinformation. What they have done is obscene”: Drs Robert Malone & Peter McCullough

URGENT PFIZER NEWS: Pfizer and the CDC committed fraud for willfully withholding critical data from the public resulting in harm and death to thousands. The CDC is spreading medical misinformation. What they have done is obscene. We are completely vindicated.

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URGENT PFIZER NEWS: Pfizer and the CDC were hiding data that showed harm and death by injection. What's going on here is criminal. For the people who knew the data, but said nothing there will be legal consequences. Either you will be witnesses or defendants.

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URGENT PFIZER NEWS: The FDA and the CDC had to be sued to release the data. The reluctance to release the data on a biological product that every person is being asked to take should make everyone concerned. DOD data shows clear increase in disease after injection.

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Originally tweeted by Truth Justice (@LakovosJustice_) on May 4, 2022.

Grid Search VS Random Search VS Bayesian Optimization: Which hyperparameter tuning method is best?

Hyperparameter tuning is an essential step in developing robust predictive models. After all, sticking with default parameters prevents models from achieving peak performance.

This begs the question: what method is most fitting for finding the optimal hyperparameters for a given model?

Here, we delve into 3 popular approaches for hyperparameter tuning and determine which one is superior.

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“Do not conform to the pattern of this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind. Then you will be able to test and approve what God’s will is – his good, pleasing and perfect will” ~Romans 12:2

This is fundamental morality, the fundamental basis of the conscience. Call it God’s will, the Buddha mind, rational clarity, real science, a profound understanding of karma, humility, decency, pure mind, being a good person. It’s all the same. We all know it and sense it strongly. Beware of those who package it and use it to delude you. The human mind is weak and can be fooled, thus: “Do not conform to the pattern of this world, but be transformed by the renewing of your mind.” ABN