Gonzalo Lira speculative analysis of Ukraine outcome

Consider this map of a possible future Ukraine, and let's take on the point of view of Putin, the Kremlin and Russia.

What would be Russia’s preferred outcome? What would they like to see three years from now?

Obviously, Russia wants to annex east and southern Ukraine, as per the map—and they will.

When they announced that residents of Kherson would be obliged to use rubles for their commerce, that’s as clear a signal as any as to their true long-term intentions: Full annexation.

The Russians will want a compliant, pacified rump-Ukraine.

Continue reading “Gonzalo Lira speculative analysis of Ukraine outcome”

“The bad decisions we made during this pandemic rank among the worst man-made death causes in the history of the US”

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link to original graph and text

I for one do not believe these mistakes were entirely innocent. I can relate to doctors in fields not closely related to covid being unwilling or unable to speak up. And I can relate to bureaucrats and political functionaries being afraid to speak up. Same for low-level hospital administrators, academics, and scientists. But people at or near the top of the food chain who banned early treatments, mandated vaccines, restricted hospital treatments, denied religious and other exemptions, wrote garbage “news” stories about all of this, you behaved very badly.

The Buddhist way out of this terrible karma you have incurred is: 1) publicly admit your mistakes; 2) apologize for your mistakes; 3) make amends for your mistakes as you are able and as are proportionate to the harm caused; 4) vow never to do anything like that again. Take your lumps, suffer for having violated your own conscience. Then, when all of this has been completed and you have done your best and your vow is strong, put it behind you and dwell on it no more. For many for whom the above is necessary, this period of remorse and self-examination should last at least a year or more. ABN

“Gut microbiome contiguous with pharyngeal flora that is key to understanding why some have never contracted it and why some with no therapy have mild cases”

@Progenabiome @SabinehazanMD Dr. Hazan breakthrough identified gut microbiome contiguous with pharyngeal flora that is key to understanding why some have never contracted it and why some with no therapy have mild cases. Signal is clear. Healthy microbiome proxy for protection.

Originally tweeted by Peter McCullough, MD MPH (@P_McCulloughMD) on April 29, 2022.

Is Ukraine seeking to widen the war by invading Transnistria?

The Ukraine’s de facto propaganda minister, Oleksiy Arestovich, has threatened an invasion of Transnistria, the Russian-protected, Slavic-majority, longtime (since 1991) “breakaway” part of Moldova. 

In line with that, some goons—possibly the Ukrainian Defense Ministry’s psychological operations branch—have been spreading “We will liberate Transnitria” digital propaganda posters in Ukrainian and Romanian.

Over this past week, “unknown” attackers launched three bazooka rounds at Transnistria’s State Security Ministry in Tiraspol; two Transnistrian towers for the rebroadcast of Russian radio were blown up by saboteurs; Ukrainian drones violated Transnistrian airspace; and, shots were fired across the border from the Ukraine in the vicinity of a major Transnistrian munitions depot (more on this location, below.)

Russia has between 1000 and 1500 soldiers in Transnistria.  Together with local Transnistrian forces (5000 regulars and many times that in reserves, in addition to police who likely have access to some heavier weapons), they should be able to hold off a total conquest by third-rate Ukrainian forces in the region. 

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“This is a nightmare unfolding in slow motion. And this is the point where we are going to have to draw the line: No, Joe Biden you CAN’T have the federally funded Ministry of Truth. And no, Nina Jankowicz can’t run it. PERIOD… It’s not your country. You’re not even compos mentis and you don’t get to do this to a free people. PERIOD.” Tucker Carlson

“What you’re seeing is a full scale attack on free speech in a country that has been free for nearly 250 years. And it’s happening at the direction of the US government through a law enforcement agency.” ~TC

Compos mentis means “of sound mind.” Another great essay by Carlson. ABN