Conclusion
We calculated the quantitative consequences of Watson et al. (2022)’s theoretical scenario on all-cause mortality by time (by week or by month, 2020-2022) in 95 countries.
Our calculations provide graphical proof that the theoretical proposals of Watson et al. (2022) — corresponding globally to 14.4 or 19.8 million lives saved by COVID-19 vaccination — are untenable, and are not even partially correct.
There is no evidence in actual all-cause mortality data that the COVID-19 vaccine rollouts had any beneficial effect. In fact, the contrary is apparent.