“We are going to decide whether we are going to grow our way out of this debt burden, and I think we can, through deregulation, energy independence & dominance in the US, and a growth mindset. I feel very strongly that this is the last chance to grow ourselves out of this.”
Sounds great for future America but not for risk assets overall… Say bye bye to deficit and gov spending that created this decades long enormous bubble.
There will be a transition period which may take year(s) and risk assets will suffer greatly. Undoing decades long policy mistakes will have a price. And remember outliers revert with velocity.
Did market know what was coming ? I absolutely think so. Otherwise why growth stocks would suffer since Trump’s lead in polls.
You see, Bessent talks about bringing growth back but ironically growth stocks are underperforming. Why? Because the market knows that without deficit spending, bubble will burst. And as always hot money / smart money is now leaving high beta growth names before major market turn. They always lead.
While I have doubts that Trump administration and new Treasury Secretary do as they say, if they do, it will be great for the future America but during the transition period, the bubble will burst with velocity.