Tom Luongo’s analysis of EU trade deal with USA

The insane level of cope since Sunday’s EU Trade deal announcement has been hilarious to watch… from the US haters who believed their own bullshit about American weakness as well as from the Europhiles who somehow really did think the US needs the EU  to prosper.

It seems the counter narrative that has been hastily ginned up is, “This will never pass the EU Parliament…so it’s all bullshit from Trump,” however is the absolute worst.

Because, let’s think this through shall we…

1) Von der Satan just barely passed a vote of No Confidence earlier in the month.  She’s already damaged goods.

2) Trump has the goods on EU and UK malfeasance involving the 2016, 2020 and 2022 US elections, and he sent @DNIGabbard over to London before dropping the bombs on them.  What was presented is likely a lot bigger than just rigging our elections, think Pfizer shots, biolabs, NGO money laundering in Ukraine and more.

3) If the EU parliament goes against Von der Fuhrer over this deal, then that weakens the EU even further as countries who can get a better deal from Trump individually will do so.  

4) Parliament will be a mess as an aftershock.  Old coalitions held together through  blackmail, arm-twisting, threats to withhold funding, etc. will splinter.  

5) Chaos in Brussels will be met with across the board selling of EU debt as the only hope the market has right now is the promise of them spending “trillions” on defense.   This is why the DAX is up 21% in 2025, and trading at near all-time-highs both in nominal and valuation terms (P/E ~19).

For these reasons (and more), the whole talking point about parliament is a non-starter.  None of the feckless Eurocrats who hold marginal power in that chamber will do anything other than froth at the mouth  like @guyverhofstadt.

But, they will always, in the end, vote for more of what got them here.

Now, if you want to talk why this deal may have a silver lining for the EU, it would be this… that Trump used their desperation for 1) a deal, 2) his support for their insane war in Ukraine and 3) to collapse their  economy to consolidate power in Brussels to get everything he wanted…

He can then do what he did today, issue a stronger message to Russia to end the conflict on less than  perfect terms for them while he guts their biggest threat (the EU) through reversing the capital flow back to the US.

There may still have to be a NATO attempt in Ukraine which will be bloody for everyone if it happens.  But it may be the only way for the people in Europe to be shocked out of their complacency.

First Trump crushes their EU leadership, then add in a couple hundred thousand dead in Ukraine… that’ll leave a mark politically.

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