Decentralization will be the new strategy for Hamas.
The Doha strike proved that no single location is safe, accelerating Hamas’s move toward a dispersed leadership model.
From what I am gathering from the region, the group has already established a political office in Baghdad and maintains a significant presence in Istanbul.
This swift readjustment just proves once again, just how coordinated all this is.
This shift to a multi-node network across several friendly nations is a logical evolution to maintain survival and slow integration. Intelligence collection will be forced to pivot from monitoring a single headquarters to mapping this distributed and more elusive network.
This will naturally mitigate the risk while significantly raising the cost of Israel attempting further strikes in the absence of undeniable proof that Hamas is still strong and active.
To understand and make sense of all this, you need to walk the western narrative framework.
As I said,
the Israeli strike in Doha marks the end of the “safe haven” era for Hamas’s political bureau.
From here, I think Hamas will survive as an organization, its role in regional diplomacy will contract sharply,
with Arab states and TPS [Transnational Private Sector] actors seizing the initiative to reshape Palestinian governance.