Tag: economics
TACO Game Theory — Trump Always Chickens Out
Key Insight: TACO is not a literal game but a strategic behavioral model reflecting how unpredictable leadership can create exploitable patterns in financial markets.
TACO in game theory primarily refers to the “Trump Always Chickens Out” (TACO) theory, a meme-based investment and political strategy concept. It describes a pattern where former U.S. President Donald Trump makes aggressive policy announcements—such as imposing high tariffs or threatening military actions—only to reverse course when markets react negatively, often leading to a rebound in stock prices. This behavior creates a predictable market expectation: buy assets when Trump makes a threatening move, as the market will likely recover after he “chickens out.”
This theory is rooted in game theory, where both Trump and financial markets are seen as players in a strategic interaction. If markets know Trump will back down, they may not panic—yet a small initial reaction is necessary for him to receive the signal that his actions are destabilizing. As noted by Nate Silver, this creates a mixed-strategy equilibrium: Trump must sometimes follow through on threats to maintain credibility, while markets must react to some degree to signal their concerns.
Recent developments (as of March 2026) suggest the TACO theory has become more viral, potentially leading Trump to stick to more extreme positions to prove he isn’t bluffing, increasing market volatility. The concept has been analyzed in financial media, including Bloomberg and the Financial Times, and is often linked to the broader “Trump Put” idea—where markets assume he will intervene to stabilize the economy.
OnlyFans Owner Leonid Radvinsky Dies at 43 After Cancer Battle
The Ukrainian-American entrepreneur, who acquired OnlyFans in 2018, passed away peacefully on March 20 in Pompano Beach, Florida, after a long illness, the company confirmed Monday. Radvinsky, worth up to $8 billion, turned the platform into a revenue machine that paid creators billions and delivered him over $700 million in dividends last year alone. His family has asked for privacy, leaving the company’s future leadership uncertain as reactions pour in from shock to tributes for his business achievements.
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Radvinsky reportedly was the top donor to AIPAC. ABN
Iran targets British territory: Tehran fires ballistic missiles at Diego Garcia military base and warns Starmer is ‘putting British lives in danger’ after he allows US to expand bombing missions
Iran fired two ballistic missiles at a joint US-UK military base in the Indian Ocean just hours after Keir Starmer gave the green light for Donald Trump to use UK-based bombers threatening the Straits of Hormuz.
The move prompted Tehran to warn the Prime Minister he had placed British lives ‘in danger’ by consenting to Trump’s request to use B-52s and other aircraft flying out of RAF Fairford and Diego Garcia to blast Iranian missile sites in the strategically important waterway.
Multiple US officials confirmed to the outlet that neither missile had struck the base. Two sources said one of the missiles failed in flight, while the other was intercepted by a US warship, but the action is a concerning development in the third week of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Two deep points worth mentioning: 1) Trump is doing Netanyahu’s bidding because he fears Jewish Supremists will kill or harm him or members of his family; and 2) Starmer, who appears to be a Jewish Supremist, is purposely destroying Britain through the mass invasion of migrants. Starmer is Jewish but you do not need to be Jewish to be a Jewish Supremist. Some 50 million Zionist Christians in USA are fundamentally Jewish Supremists. They are at the bottom of the JS pyramid, but they are JS nonetheless and will be harmed or killed like Charlie Kirk if they turn against JS. This is the deep fact at the heart of what is now WW3 destroying the world economy. The more people understand this, the better our chances for a better world. JS do not care about anyone else’s blood, treasure or land. They only care about their own blood, treasure and land, which is ultimately, in their fantasies, the entire world once everyone else is killed or enslaved. ABN
‘Trump is deeply afraid of being assassinated’ by Israel — Ray McGovern
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Joe Kent said the same in his interview with Tucker, below. Trump surely also fears for his family. Recall, Netanyahu gifted an Israeli-made cellphone to Trump. That was a blatant threat. He also gave a bunch of US Congress people Israeli-made cellphones some months ago. McGovern says these threats against Trump [and all of the US elite, I would add] are the real story here. Yes, it is. That’s the real story. A Jewish Supremist gang controls when and where USA goes to war and everyone at the top is afraid of being killed if they disagree. ABN
Israel bombed Iranian gas fields to disrupt world economy and mire USA deeper in the war
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Trump’s off-ramp from this war is control the Israelis with real threats of leaving them on their own to prevent precisely what just happened. This is a very short version of what Joe Kent says at the end of his interview below with Carlson. ABN
Japan to invest to increase Alaskan crude oil production
Japan will invest to increase crude oil production in Alaska as part of the $550 billion (87 trillion yen) tariff agreement with the United States and also stockpile the reserves produced in the U.S. state.
Sources said Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi and U.S. President Donald Trump will announce the plan when they meet in Washington, D.C., on March 19.
Japan will purchase the additional crude oil produced in Alaska as part of its effort to reduce its heavy dependence on Middle East oil. Currently about 90 percent of Japan’s crude oil imports comes from that region.
I am seeing reports this has already been agreed on. ABN
Canada economic crash described — Peter St Onge
Canada just lost 109,000 jobs in 2 months.
In US terms that’s almost 1 million jobs.
Meanwhile food inflation just hit 7.3% — the highest in the G7. And 60% of Canadians are borrowing to buy groceries.
Carney is sacrificing regular Canadians to score points on Donald Trump.
U.S. NGOs have combined assets totaling $14.2 trillion of your tax money
Trump economic adviser Kevin Hassett says of Iran war funding: “Right now, we’ve got what need”
CONTROLLED: Trump’s Kharg Island Strike Ends Iran’s Oil Terror Premium
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Well-worth viewing. Shows Trump has a plan and it looks good. I would add that Israel’s constant disruptions of the Middle East may also be coming to an end, and may also be part of Trump’s plan. He gave Bibi what Bibi wanted, or thought he wanted, but the result appears to be a degradation of Israel’s status and possibly the end of their Greater Israel fantasies. ABN
Any country except for US and Israel can pass through Strait of Hormuz, Iranian Foreign Minister says
Iran said Saturday that all countries besides the US and Israel may pass through the Strait of Hormuz, in a desperate attempt at coalition busting less than a day after the US bombed military targets on its oil-critical Kharg Island.
“As a matter of fact, the Strait of Hormuz is open,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said.
“It is only closed to the tankers and ships belong[ing] to our enemies, to those who are attacking us and their allies. Others are free to pass,” Araghchi told MS NOW.
American Buddhist Net 