Tag: analysis

Israel controlled at the top as means to stage large war with ‘stable endgame’ — letter from an astute reader

~ ABN ~ Leave a comment

you may not be aware of all sides of reality with israel , but there is a stream of thinking that posits israel was created by euro-british interests ( largely but not entirely ) —financed by them quite early, with many intentions, but ultimately to solve the british french and other problems in maintaining their control over the middle east as they pulled out after ww2. they pulled out of other places to, and massive wars happened ( india-pakistan-banglesh wars, for example)—-in the wake of pullouts/retreats

so with this thinking, israel is controlled somewhat at the very top, as is the u.s. and elsewhere with a purpose to bring forwards and structure the conditions for big big wars, that are hard to pull off.

since there are still some people that want a practical path towards preventing ww3, this would mean a stabile endgame.

for israel, they will probably unilaterally attempt an endgame to this chapter of conflict if it does not spin out of their control to a wider regional war, which i believe it will because of the incentives of all sides and parties to this conflict and tertiary interests.

what would a plan for you be? i’m curious. i find most israeli’s i know are impractical and just go along with the government game of managing conflict. with palestinians, its easy to say they have no agency and just throw your hands up and blame israel for subverting everything. that kind of attittude, whereever it comes from is fine if you are a virtue signaller and enjoy being right, but it still doesn’t settle on finding a solution to conflict.

it has always been the case the birtish and others draw national lines that are devised to leave lasting conflict.

the very existence of gaza as a rump territory was a political-geographical landmine place quite purposefully. but also, because it was easy NOT to move people, but moving people is always what large colonial nations have done .

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US federal deficit much larger than claimed — Peter St Onge

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Turns out this year’s federal deficit is a lot bigger than they claimed, and growing twice as fast.

Thanks to a cute accounting gimmick that counted student loan cancellation as revenue. That means our deficit is already $2 trillion — up 40% on a year ago.

And it means Congress promising $144 trillion in debt by 2053 could actually be low-balling.

This is another reason for war. Or more precisely, they don’t care about the deficit because they have known for a long time that they will be starting WW3. ABN

Pentagon ramping up for war in Middle East

~ ABN ~ 3 Comments

Called this in general terms at least one year ago that more war, even WW3, is all but inevitable. This announcement makes certain that we are entering the next stage of the plan for world domination by USA and its secret controllers. A large regional war will overshadow and provide excuses to steal the 2024 election, if not cancel it. Fighting in the Middle East will probably bring acts of terror into USA soon. One way of seeing this is it has been planned by whomever controls the West, including the MIHOP attack in Israel. Another way to view this is the West is falling into a trap set by Iran and others. The trap will be a large regional war that may go global and will gravely weaken USA, if not destroy it. The only way I can make any sort of rational sense of US actions is they have a secret super-weapon that will be decisive. ABN

Israel’s Biblical Psychopathy — Laurent Guyénot

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…Yahweh, “the god of Israel,” is an angry and lonely volcano god who manifests toward all other gods an implacable hatred, and ends up considering them as non-gods, him being, in fact, the only true god. This very clearly characterizes him as a psychopath among gods. By contrast, for the Egyptians, according to German Egyptologist Jan Assmann, “the gods are social beings,” and harmony between them guarantees harmony in the cosmos.[8] There was, moreover, a degree of translatability between the pantheons of various civilizations. But Yahweh taught the Hebrews contempt for the deities of their neighbors—making them, in the eyes of these neighbors, a threat to the cosmic and social order. Yahweh is essentially, says Assmann, a theoclastic god: “You must completely destroy all the places where the nations you dispossess have served their gods, on high mountains, on hills, under any spreading tree; you must tear down their altars, smash their sacred stones, burn their sacred poles, hack to bits the statues of their gods and obliterate their name from that place” (Deuteronomy 12:2-3).

Yahweh may be a character of fiction, but his hold on the Jewish mind is nevertheless real. “To appeal to a crazy, violent father, and for three thousand years, that is what it is to be a crazy Jew!”[9] said Smilesburger in Philip Roth’s Operation Shylock. Jews have been taught by Yahweh to keep strictly separate from other people. Food prohibitions serve to prevent all socialization outside the tribe: “I shall set you apart from all these peoples, for you to be mine” (Leviticus 20:26).

The nature of the covenant is not moral. The sole criterion for approval by Yahweh is obedience to his arbitrary laws and commands. To slaughter treacherously hundreds of prophets of Baal is good, because it is the will of Yahweh (1Kings 18). To show mercy to the king of the Amalekites is bad, because when Yahweh says, “kill everyone,” he means “everyone” (1Samuel 15). In the biblical historiography, the fate of the Jewish people depends on them following Yahweh’s orders, no matter how insane. As well said by Kevin MacDonald:

The idea that Jewish suffering results from Jews straying from their own law occurs almost like a constant drumbeat throughout the Tanakh—a constant reminder that the persecution of Jews is not the result of their own behavior vis-à-vis Gentiles but rather the result of their behavior vis-à-vis God.[10]

If the Jews follow Yahweh’s command of alienating themselves from the rest of humankind, in return, Yahweh promises to make them rule over humankind: “follow his ways, keep his statutes, his commandments, his customs, and listen to his voice,” and Yahweh “will raise you higher than every other nation he has made”; “You will make many nations your subjects, yet you will be subject to none” (Deuteronomy 26:17-19 and 28:12). This sounds very much, actually, like the pact Satan proposed to Jesus: “the devil showed him all the kingdoms of the world and their splendor. And he said to him, ‘I will give you all these, if you fall at my feet and do me homage.’” (Matthew 4:8-9).

If Israel follows scrupulously the Law, Yahweh promises to submit all nations to the domination of Israel, and destroy those that resist. “Kings will fall prostrate before you, faces to the ground, and lick the dust at your feet,” whereas “the nation and kingdom that will not serve you will perish” (Isaiah 49:23 and 60:12). Nations must either recognize Israel’s sovereignty, or be destroyed. Yahweh told Israel that he has identified “seven nations greater and stronger than yourself,” that “you must put under the curse of destruction,” and not “show them any pity.” As for their kings, “you will blot out their names under heaven” (Deuteronomy 7:1-2, 24).

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General analyses of signaling systems illuminate fundamentals of psychology

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Individual psychology is a locus or node within a larger social system.

More precisely, individual psychologies are particular signaling systems within larger social signaling systems.

It is valuable to see this because general analyses of signaling systems—even those having nothing to do with human psychology—can shed light on human signaling systems, including both individual psychology and many aspects of sociology.

When human psychology is viewed as a signaling system, we can readily see that narcissism is bound to occur because narcissism is fundamentally a simplistic signal system.  (See Narcissism redefined (yet again) for more.)

When human sociology is viewed as a signaling system, we can similarly see that parasitism is bound to occur because the exploitation of one system by another is a fairly simple matter.  (See Social parasitism in ants and humans for more.)

In like manner, we can see that social hierarchies importantly have evolved because they are simple and decently efficient signal (communication) systems.

We can also see why hierarchical system often are overthrown and why they often do not arise in systems where they are not needed.  For example, no hierarchy is needed for a language system once the basics have been established.  A parasitic or authoritarian group might impose a hierarchy on a language system, but that’s a different animal.

When individual psychology is viewed as a signaling system, we can see that a great deal of what we consider “disordered” or “ill” within that system is fundamentally a problem of the signal system itself and not the “personality” we have mistakenly abstracted out of that system.

Indeed, most of what we think of as personality is nothing more than an individual signal system attempting to conform to its understanding of the larger social system within which it exists.  When science is applied to “personality” erroneously conceived, we arrive at the many psychometric tautologies on personality traits we now have.  Psychometrics have limited value for describing societies, but are frequently misleading, even damaging, when applied to individuals.  In this, they resemble BMI data which originally was used as a marker for the health of whole populations, not individuals, and which can be misleading when applied to individuals.

When we view individuals as signaling systems rather than personalities, we can immediately see that these systems can and should be optimized for better communication.  Indeed, this is the real job of psychology—optimizing individual signaling systems. Not just treating “personality” disorders.

Psychophysics gains a new law of sensory perception that also sheds light on subjective perception

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First we have to understand Weber’s Law:

Weber’s law, also called Weber-Fechner law, historically important psychological law quantifying the perception of change in a given stimulus. The law states that the change in a stimulus that will be just noticeable is a constant ratio of the original stimulus. It has been shown not to hold for extremes of stimulation. (Weber’s Law)

Hang in with this, it’s interesting.

About 200 years ago, the German physician Ernst Heinrich Weber made a seemingly innocuous observation which led to the birth of the discipline of Psychophysics – the science relating physical stimuli in the world and the sensations they evoke in the mind of a subject. Weber asked subjects to say which of two slightly different weights was heavier. From these experiments , he discovered that the probability that a subject will make the right choice only depends on the ratio between the weights.

For instance, if a subject is correct 75% of the time when comparing a weight of 1 Kg and a weight of 1.1 Kg, then she will also be correct 75% of the time when comparing two weights of 2 and 2.2 Kg – or, in general, any pair of weights where one is 10% heavier than the other. This simple but precise rule opened the door to the quantification of behavior in terms of mathematical ‘laws’. (NEUROSCIENTISTS MAKE MAJOR BREAKTHROUGH IN 200-YEAR-OLD PUZZLE)

What’s new today is Time–Intensity Equivalence in Discrimination (TIED):

We investigated Weber’s law by training rats to discriminate the relative intensity of sounds at the two ears at various absolute levels. These experiments revealed the existence of a psychophysical regularity, which we term time–intensity equivalence in discrimination (TIED), describing how reaction times change as a function of absolute level. (The mechanistic foundation of Weber’s law)

Simply stated TIED says that the intensity of the stimulus determines the time it takes to “just notice” a change in it and that that scales linearaly as intensity changes up or down. For example, changes in louder sounds are noticed quicker than proportionally equal changes in quieter sounds and this can be scaled mathematically.

TIED is a new theory and needs more research, but whether it works out perfectly or not, I think it shows something very important about our individual and shared subjective perceptions of words, gestures, meanings, intentions, implications, and so on including all semiotics.

At present, we do not have machines that can measure our subjective perceptions, but we can surely feel them. And with training, we can also decently calibrate them.

Most of us can already vaguely talk about our subjective perceptions of each other, but few of us know how to do that with the precision of Weber’s Law or TIED. This is because we are all unique and we all react uniquely to each other. On top of that, few are able to employ language efficiently enough to capture significant detail when describing subjective responses or impressions.

FIML provides a very useful method for isolating and calibrating individual, idiosyncratic subjective perceptions.

Consistent, repeated use of FIML gradually recalibrates and reorganizes the entire psychologies of both partners.

FIML has virtually no content.. FIML is a method, and as such it allows partners to gradually identify, isolate, measure, and reorganize their entire body of psychological data, however they construe it.

Email exchange on war & power in today’s world

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It is a strange time. Because there was some kind of takeover full domination and depopulation plan, yet it was based on also having hegemony. Hegemony is breaking down, but the domination and depopulation plan is still in motion. Maybe this is how it should go, but it doesn’t seem that way. Maybe there is a notion they can do both at once—however this seems epically stupid. Also it seems this whole plan was put into motion by people who are now geriatric hard to know because it is all secret.

I do suspect British Royal Family and other euro royals are big players. Then organizations set up by the American robber barons in the Early 1900s. That used to all be quite naked to the public but the advent of PR put it in the shadows. The UK royals are all in on the money and put their faces everywhere in Canada and Australia. Much like you see the UAE royals have shops and hotel all put up portraits of them. That is Raw power. Much like Xi making everyone study Xi thought.

The one thing that got me thinking lately is the economic cost of a wrong view. I mean each wrong view likely costs us some amount as we make poorer decisions about everything else. Think of the economic cost of someone vaccine injured. But then all the other bits of lack of information. How much time we spend on such things. And then the cost to society when people are massively misinformed.

J

I agree with what you say and also I think the possibility must be considered that the cabal in the West has a super weapon which nobody knows about but them. This weapon would be powerful enough to ensure victory against any and all opponents on Earth. I do believe this is a real possibility and cannot be dismissed.

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Efrat Fenigson interview — ‘There are some forces here that enabled this to happen, that allowed this to happen’

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Israelis are experiencing an acute form of what Americans and Europeans have been experiencing for decades—their own government is somehow either complicit, infiltrated, or controlled by outside forces. And this has ‘allowed this to happen’. After 9/11 in the US, there were two main theoretical categories about what happened—our government MIHOP (Made It Happen On Purpose) or LIHOP (Let It Happen On Purpose). Israelis are also experiencing the Western sense that they do not even know who is in ultimate control of their nation. In USA, we have been experiencing for decades that whoever is in control of our government is doing to us what USA has been doing to the world for an even longer period of time. It seems that Israelis are now experiencing something similar, as are Europeans. There is a weird irony that many believe Israelis or Jews are the sinister power in control of USA and/or USA is the sinister power in control of Israel. Both could be true, of course. However you look at it, all signs do point to a secret cabal pulling the strings throughout the Western world, including Israel. And all signs point to that cabal having the ambition to conquer and control the world. ABN

Analysis of conflict — Douglas Macgregor

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The Israeli losses are predicted to exceed 1,000 dead.

It is inconceivable that the IDF had NO ready forces positioned in the South or the North to deal with potential violence on the anniversary of 1973.

At the same time, the Arabs did what they never do. They shut up.

In this sense, it’s reminiscent of two conditions.

First, Custer and his column were annihilated because the hostile tribes did something they had never done:

They united and stood their ground. Normally, they were divided and fled as soon as Army Regulars showed up.

He rushed in thinking that if he did not, the hostiles would fleet. It’s also reminiscent of the Bulge.

We talked ourselves into a state of wishful thinking and the Germans surprised us.

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