East Palestine, OH: The chemical dust has settled. Where, how much of it, and what comes next? ~ Adam Gaertner

Just over a week ago, I issued a warning: everybody on the eastern seaboard of the United States, with the possible exceptions of Georgia and South-Central Florida, needed to evacuate, for at least a couple of weeks, due to the enormous cloud of vinyl chloride and other highly toxic chemicals released in East Palestine. A week later, we have a better idea of exactly what’s happened, and what to expect over the coming months and years. There’s good news, and there’s bad news.

Keeping track of these developments has been very challenging, time-consuming, and slow – with absolutely zero reliable information available from the various local, state and federal governments, I’ve had to employ OSINT and HUMINT to keep track of various developments, affected locations, et cetera. Applying military intelligence methodologies to track a chemical-environmental disaster is a rather novel approach, and it has required a healthy dose of skepticism and cross-referencing of other sources of information, but it has yielded a relatively clear picture of the situation.

Ordinarily, the EPA should be deployed across the country taking tests and measurements, but seeing as we have an administration of incompetent, traitorous clowns running our governments these days, that’s a wish that’s never going to be granted. Given the likelihood that it was a deliberate chemical weapon attack, though, I suppose it’s fitting.

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Health clinic to open in East Palestine as residents report burning eyes and terrible headaches after train derailment — despite officials saying environment is safe

Ohio health officials are launching a clinic to treat residents from the fallout of the catastrophic train derailment on February 3.

The announcement comes after residents report a wave of sickness despite officials ruling there were no health hazards detected in the town’s water or air. Some report burning eyes, loose stool and headaches since the crash.

Toxic chemicals such as vinyl chloride, benzene, isobutylene were leaked after Norfolk Southern train 32N derailed near the small town on the border between Ohio and Pennsylvania.

The substances released during the incident can cause symptoms that match the nausea, dizziness and shortness of breath residents have suffered since the event.

Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) chief Michael Regan took two weeks to visit the community. Meanwhile, Republicans are calling for secretary of  transportation Pete Buttigieg to resign over his handling of the derailment. 

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Strange Stuff – Two Weeks After East Palestine Toxic Chemical Spill, EPA Administrator Tells CNN Site Not Safe for EPA Workers

I missed this a few days ago; however, given the “official” narrative that East Palestine, Ohio, water and air are safe it seems rather contradictory for EPA Administrator Michael Regan to tell CNN’s Erica Hill two weeks later that things might not be safe for EPA officials.

I mean seriously, what the heck is the message here?  And the state and federal officials wonder why the residents of the area would have concerns about being told everything is safe.  In this soundbite (prompted to the question at 07:39) CNN’s Erica Hill speaks with EPA administrator Michael Regan and asks him if things are safe.  The hedge and qualifiers are off the charts alarming. WATCH:

Yikes.  Never has “we are from the government, and here to help” seemed sketchier.  Even the CNN lady doesn’t seem to be buying what EPA Administrator Regan is selling.

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East Palestine toxic spill and fire analysis — Serious harms nearby; long-term or distant harms not serious

I don’t tend to cover current events, but I’ve seen some questionable information circulating on the recent train derailment & chemical spill in Ohio and I’m in a position to give some more measured info about the gravity of the situation in some regards

Disclaimer: This is of course an analysis based on extremely fragmentary information and not that much research put into it (as it’s not the main focus of what I like to do on twitter but some easy-to-find information may limit some of the excesses I’ve seen)

First, the much-discussed vinyl chloride (VC). Also called chloroethene (C2H3Cl) this molecule is mainly used as a source material to make the polymer PVC (polyvinylchloride) the world’s third most produced plastic. VC production tonnage is in tens of millions of tons/year

[I found this thread worth reading. The details are interesting. The bottom line is in (my) title above. ABN]

Continue reading “East Palestine toxic spill and fire analysis — Serious harms nearby; long-term or distant harms not serious”

Train Derailment in Ohio Results in an Air Quality Disaster

Five days after a train carrying vinyl chloride derailed and exploded near the Ohio-Pennsylvania border, crews initiated a controlled burn of toxic chemicals to prevent a much more dangerous explosion. Thousands of residents of East Palestine, Ohio, a town of about 5,000 people, were evacuated, and officials warned the controlled burn would create a phosgene and hydrogen chloride plume across the region.

Image from FalconryFinace on Twitter

The explosion serves as a wake-up call to the potential for more deadly freight rail derailments, according to public health advocates. They believe that ineffective oversight and a largely self-monitoring industry are responsible for the wreck.

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The genesis of hydrocarbons and the origin of petroleum

Natural petroleum is a hydrogen–carbon (H–C) system, in distinctly nonequilibrium states, composed of mixtures of highly reduced hydrocarbon molecules, all of very high chemical potential and most in the liquid phase. As such, the phenomenon of the terrestrial existence of natural petroleum in the near-surface crust of the Earth has presented several challenges, most of which have remained unresolved until recently. The primary scientific problem of petroleum has been the existence and genesis of the individual hydrocarbon molecules themselves: how, and under what thermodynamic conditions, can such highly reduced molecules of high chemical potential evolve?

…The H–C system does not spontaneously evolve heavy hydrocarbons at pressures less than ≈30 kbar, even in the most favorable thermodynamic environment. The H–C system evolves hydrocarbons under pressures found in the mantle of the Earth and at temperatures consistent with that environment.

source: The evolution of multicomponent systems at high pressures: VI. The thermodynamic stability of the hydrogen–carbon system: The genesis of hydrocarbons and the origin of petroleum


Meet the Appalachian Apple Hunter Who Rescued 1,000 ‘Lost’ Varieties

AS TOM BROWN LEADS A pair of young, aspiring homesteaders through his home apple orchard in Clemmons, North Carolina, he gestures at clusters of maturing trees. A retired chemical engineer, the 79 year old lists varieties and pauses to tell occasional stories. Unfamiliar names such as Black Winesap, Candy Stripe, Royal Lemon, Rabun Bald, Yellow Bellflower, and Night Dropper pair with tales that seem plucked from pomological lore.

Take the Junaluska apple. Legend has it the variety was standardized by Cherokee Indians in the Smoky Mountains more than two centuries ago and named after its greatest patron, an early-19th-century chief. Old-time orchardists say the apple was once a Southern favorite, but disappeared around 1900. Brown started hunting for it in 2001 after discovering references in an Antebellum-era orchard catalog from Franklin, North Carolina.

Detective work helped him locate the rural orchard, which closed in 1859. Next, he enlisted a local hobby-orchardist and mailman as a guide. The two spent days knocking door-to-door asking about old apple trees. Eventually, an elderly woman led them to the remains of a mountain orchard that’d long since been swallowed by forest. Brown returned during fruiting season and used historic records to identify a single, gnarled Junaluska tree. He clipped scionwood for his new conservation orchard and set about reintroducing the apple to the world.

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