Rational actor, muddled actor

The notion in economics that humans are “rational actors” has been widely and rightly criticized. Here is the basic argument against “rational choice theory” in economics as put by Edward J. Nell and Karim Errouaki:

To make rational calculations projectible, the agents may be assumed to have idealized abilities, especially foresight; but then the Inductive Problem is out of reach because the agents of the world do not resemble those of the model. The agents of the model can be abstract, but they cannot be endowed with powers actual agents could not have. This also undermines Methodological Individualism; if behaviour cannot be reliably predicted on the basis of the ‘rational choices of agents’ a social order cannot reliably follow from the choices of agents. (Source)

The problem is even worse when it comes to linguistics. All people much of the time are neither rational speakers nor rational listeners.

Speech arises out of complex mental, emotional, and environmental conditions. As speakers, we are often not aware of many of those conditions. The same is true for listeners. When the muddled aspects of speaking and listening are added together, the problem is made worse.

An even deeper problem is most muddled speech and listening never gets figured out. In place of clear mutual understanding, we normally go with muddled interpretations of what people are saying and how they understand what we have said.

Be mindful of what you say and how you are being understood. Listen carefully to others and notice how you are understanding what they are saying. It’s a very messy process even when topics are concrete and carry little or no emotional valence.

If basing a model of economics on “rational actors” does not work, the situation is far worse for psychology, anthropology, sociology, linguistics, history, and more. The problem is worse because economic behavior is simpler than linguistic behavior, which underlies all of these subjects.

A good model of sociology might say something like this: People are emotionally and mentally muddled and they communicate very badly with each other except in simple situations or on the basis of simple semiotic models they already agree on and have been trained in. Culture, therefore, is little more than the simple semiotic models people use to communicate because they don’t know how to communicate in any other way.

A model for psychology might say something like this: Most people have profound emotional problems because they cannot communicate with others except in simple situations or on the basis of simple semiotic models they already agree on and have been trained in by experience. This is a disaster in intimate interpersonal relationships, often leading to anger, sadness, alienation, and depression.

A model for history might say: The above two paragraphs describe major historical forces that are as significant as economic and environmental forces. (This is why ‘history’ is so easily rewritten by those in power.)

We won’t fix the world just yet or change the course of history, but as individuals we can do something about this with our best friends and life partners. FIML corrects these problems because FIML exposes communication errors and corrects them while they are happening. If communication errors are not caught while they are happening (at least a good deal of the time), partners will be forced to rely on simple semiotics, simple extrinsic cultural norms, to conduct their emotional lives together, and that is a recipe for disaster.

People are muddled actors when it comes to communication and this is a serious problem when it comes to intimate interpersonal communication. But we can become much more rational and communicate much more clearly with at least one other person by using FIML techniques.

first posted AUGUST 1, 2012

Population Control and Official USG Policy — Dr Robert Malone

Here are the receipts. Not a “conspiracy theory”

Personally, I have been reluctant to wander down the rabbit hole relating to various “depopulation agenda” theories involving the COVIDcrisis. However, the odd concordance between a possible population reduction objective and the dysfunctional “public health” policies is obvious to all open minded thinkers. These policies include that the biologically engineered SARS-CoV-2 virus, the many “public health” policies, as well as the rushed gene therapy-based COVID “vaccines” and their wide range of associated- but rigorously denied – “serious adverse events” (not the least of which are sudden unexpected death and fertility issues) are more consistent with a population control/depopulation agenda as opposed to being effective “public health” interventions.

Buckle up, because this is going to be a deep dive down that very same rabbit hole.

Recently, a respected colleague (Mr. Gavin DeBecker) sent me an email comprising a lengthy analysis and attached documents concerning (formerly classified) National Security Study Memorandum (NSSM) 200 titled the “Kissinger Report”. He also provided links to associated supplemental federal government documents including the National Security Directive Memorandum 314 “Implications of Worldwide Population Growth for US Security and Overseas Interests, 11/26/75”. Gavin is a well-published author, including the pivotal work titled “The Gift of Fear : Survival Signals That Protect Us from Violence”, and he had prepared this analysis (below) while preparing a new book. His text, thoughts and analysis are shared by permission of the author.

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Seiichi Morimura, who exposed the atrocities committed by the Japanese army’s Unit 731, dies at 90

TOKYO (AP) — Renowned Japanese mystery writer Seiichi Morimura, whose nonfiction trilogy “The Devil’s Gluttony” exposed human medical experiments conducted by a secret Japanese army unit during World War II, died Monday. He was 90.

His official website and publisher, Kadokawa, said Morimura died of pneumonia at a Tokyo hospital.

“Akuma no Hoshoku,” or “The Devil’s Gluttony,” which began as a newspaper series in 1981, became a bestseller and created a sensation across the country over atrocities committed by Japanese Imperial Army Unit 731 in China.

From its base in Japanese-controlled Harbin in China, Unit 731 and related units injected war prisoners with typhus, cholera and other diseases as research into germ warfare, according to historians and former unit members. Unit 731 is also believed to have performed vivisections and frozen prisoners to death in tests of endurance.

Morimura began contributing articles to magazines while working in hotels. He won the prestigious Edogawa Rampo Prize for his mystery fiction in 1969 and the Mystery Writers of Japan Award in 1973.

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FLASHBACK 12/2009: ‘Alarming’ mental problems seen in SARS survivors

NEW YORK (Reuters Health) – Many survivors of the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) pandemic of 2003 suffer from persistent mental health problems and chronic fatigue years later, new research from Hong Kong shows.

What’s more, these psychiatric problems seemed to become more common among survivors over time, say Dr. Marco Ho-Bun Lam and colleagues from The Chinese University of Hong Kong, who call the persistence of these problems “alarming.”

A year after the disease outbreak, Lam and his team note in their report in the Archives of Internal Medicine, some survivors still had mental problems even though their physical symptoms had improved.

To look at these effects long-term, and to further investigate chronic fatigue symptoms often reported by SARS survivors, Lam and his team looked at 233 SARS survivors an average of 41 months after the study participants had gotten sick. The study participants’ average age was 43 years, and 70 percent were women.

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FWIW, I am all but certain my partner and I had this, which we thought was a really bad flu, and recovered completely from it. No psychological issues for either of us but it did confer immunity to covid-19. Since many governments reveled in flexing their health authority during covid, we can be sure there will be more planned panics. SARS infections were limited in USA and world as respiratory viruses generally are. At that time, we were in the midst of a community that had many infections. ABN

How the world’s historic heroes would look TODAY from Leonardo Da Vinci to Queen Victoria and Vlad the Impaler

We’ve seen their portraits countless times… but have you ever wondered what some of history’s most famous figures really looked like?

From Alexander the Great to Queen Victoria, William Shakespeare, Leonardo da Vinci, and everyone in between, one artist has been bringing history to life.

Becca, who runs Royalty Now Studios, has combined her passions for art, history, design and photoshop to create modernized portraits of more the 100 historical figures.

The Texas-based graphic designer recreates famous statues and portraits so that we can ‘learn about the past with a little more empathy for the figures involved’. 

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Bidens allegedly ‘coerced’ Burisma CEO to pay them millions to help get Ukraine prosecutor fired: FBI form

Joe Biden and Hunter Biden allegedly “coerced” Burisma CEO Mykola Zlochevsky to pay them millions of dollars in exchange for their help in getting the Ukrainian prosecutor investigating the company fired, according to allegations contained in an unclassified FBI document released Thursday by Sen. Chuck Grassley, R-Iowa.

Grassley said he released the document, which describes an alleged criminal bribery scheme involving then-Vice President Biden and a Ukrainian business executive, so that the American people can “read this document for themselves without the filter of politicians or bureaucrats.” 

The document in question is an FBI-generated FD-1023 form, which Grassley acquired via legally protected disclosures by Justice Department whistleblowers, according to the senator’s office. 

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 FBI-generated FD-1023 form:

Judaism as a Self-Terminating Religion

Untrue stories exist at each end of Jewish history’s three thousand years – fictional, fabricated and of immense magnitude. We may start in the tenth century BCE, where archaeologists have after diligent study found no trace of King Solomon, his Temple or his empire. Half a century of intensive excavation of the Holy Land has now reached that conclusion. The alleged mighty empire of David and Solomon, stretching from the Nile to the Euphrates – on the basis of which the modern state of Israel was formed – did not exist. Meanwhile the Bible makes no mention of the great empire of Egypt, which really did in that period stretch from the Nile to the Euphrates. These things must be relegated to storyland, like Moses parting the Red Sea. Experts were finally attaining this negative conclusion as the new millennium dawned.

…Christians need to apprehend that it is not a virtue to believe in that which never existed. That won’t save your soul. At both ends of the amazing three-thousand years of Jewish history are tremendous phantoms, imaginations which we the Goyim have been led to believe. That which never was, which never had existence is inscribed as fact in books the whole world over. We need a collective therapy experience of discussing What Really Happened. Only the power of Truth can save us now. Are we capable of that?

Judaism we may conclude must inevitably self-terminate in this 21st century, simply because of the intellectual power of modern Jews, who cannot hope to avoid seeing how their identity-defining narratives have disintegrated. They were tremendous stories, but were never true.

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I am reminded by this that the power of Buddhism lies in its philosophy, methods and their results. Buddhism provides an extensive vocabulary of concepts and insights that are dynamic and adaptive, accepting of all truths new or old. Buddhism has many stories but the tradition does not rely on them for its fundamental claims. Buddhism provides a coherent and practical view of human life without demanding belief or loyalty to it. Buddhism connects us to the past and to many varieties of human experience through its long evolution in many parts of the world. ABN

FLASHBACK MAY 2021: ‘Your doggy chain necklace is waiting for you.’ Flirty messages from Hunter Biden’s Chinese-American secretary, 29, who worked for him when he partnered with the ‘spy chief of China’ are revealed

  • DailyMail.com can reveal messages between Hunter Biden and young Chinese-American woman who worked in his business venture with Patrick Ho 
  • In an audio recording, Hunter described Ho to a friend as the ‘spy chief of China’ 
  • The young secretary, JiaQi Bao, worked for Hunter during his partnership with Chinese oil giant CEFC in a multi-million-dollar deal
  • Bao, then age 29, scheduled flights, hotels and doctor’s appointments for him 
  • She sent him opposition research to help Joe Biden’s 2020 election bid and wrote flirty and personal messages and ended up with his military dog tags
  • She also encouraged him to draw from the company’s accounts before they was shut down 
  • Hunter and Joe Biden’s brother Jim partnered with CEFC in 2017, in a deal that was meant to generate billions of dollars 
  • But the joint venture collapsed the following year when CEFC’s secretary general Ho was arrested and convicted of bribery in a US federal prosecution   
  • It’s unclear whether Bao was aware of CEFC bosses alleged links with intelligence services at the time and she has not responded to requests for comment 

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Filing this one under ‘espionage’ in addition to ‘corruption’. ABN

From two years ago

I quite liked this one at the time and still do. Besides recalling frontier spirit, this meme also alludes to the spirited side of Buddhism, or any religion that counsels at least adopting an analytical distance from society if not leaving it for good. The Middle Path generally means removal far enough to maintain a perspective conducive to enlightenment. ABN