“I do not know the plans of our government, but it looks like the extermination of its own population” — Ukrainian soldier on Bakhmut pic.twitter.com/kjkpmOxwPI
The only clear neocon aim of this war has been the annihilation of Ukrainian men while also driving everyone else out of the country. Who will end up owning what is now Ukraine and who will live there? ABN
Here is the short and dirty sequence of events that led to this.
The Tuvan gangster running the MoD forced through a decree demanding that Wagner and all militias and PMCs bend the knee to him. I predicted that this would end badly.
Prigozhin publicly stated that he would not comply and began raising support among his own men and other outfits
The doddering little guy in the Kremlin that some allege is the President of Russia came out on the side of Shoigu at his presser
Prigozhin releases yet another, final video lambasting the MoD and telling the dirty truth about this Not-War (working on the translation for tomorrow)
The MoD allegedly bombs Wagner’s positions after, presumably, negotiations with Prigozhin broke down (MoD denies this)
FSB announces warrant for Prigozhin’s arrest
Prigozhin declares that he will fight, moves in on Rostov, takes over the SMO HQ
MoD helicopters start getting shot down. So far three are rumored to be downed, one plane (unlikely)
Wagner moves north on Voronezh and soldiers there lay down arms
Putin condemns Wagner as traitors in video address
Moscow declares state of emergency and anti-terrorism operation/regime
Putin condemns Wagner as traitors in video address
Wagner begins advance on Moscow
The national guard is being scrambled in Moscow, men being sent out to meet Wagner before they get to Moscow
Now, this is the very short and dirty list. Every single point on this list is worth an article explaining how it went down. But we cannot lose sight of the forest for the trees now that the situation is developing dynamically.
The most pressing question on everyone’s minds is, of course, does Wagner have a chance? The answer may surprise you.
Vladimir Putin has called Wagner chief Yevgney Prigozhin’s military coup ‘treason’ as he addressed the Russian people on Saturday, warning that the military leader had ‘stabbed him in the back’ as Moscow is on lockdown amid a red alert.
Prigozhin and his feared 25,000-strong Wagner militia have control of the southern Russian city of Rostov-on-Don, saying they are ‘ready to die’ as they vow revenge for a military strike from Putin’s forces that the mercenary leader says killed some of his men.
The unit has now reached the halfway city of Voronezh as they advance on Moscow.
All public events have been cancelled in the Russian capital as Vladimir Putin took to TV to say some Russians have been ‘tricked into a criminal adventure’ in a bid to affirm his increasingly shaky grip on power.
Putin described the group’s actions as ‘equivalent to armed mutiny’, and urged those involved to cease any armed resistance.
In the Obolonsky district of Kiev, the mobilization of citizens liable for military service was announced – even those who did not receive a summons should appear at the local military registration and enlistment office.
In the event that the people of Kiev, falling under the mobilization, do not comply with this requirement, they fall under criminal liability.
General mobilization was also announced in the Ivano-Frankivsk region.
Below is an image of the actual mobilization order (in original Ukrainian language)
The massacre of Ukrainian men reaches new heights of savagery. Men sent to the front have a life expectancy of four hours once there. There is little doubt in my mind that Zelensky’s war policy is destroy all fighting age Ukrainian men while also causing everyone else to flee the country, almost all of whom have said they will never return. Who will be living in Ukraine in five years, I wonder. ABN
This is an anti-Ukraine war and an anti-Europe war every bit as much as it is an anti-Russia war. US strategy appears to be full chaos & destruction till only US neocons are left standing. ABN
The details of the destruction of the underground bunker of Kirill Budanov, the head of the Main Directorate of Intelligence Services (GUR) of the Ministry of Defense
of Ukraine, have become known. A video of a Russian rocket falling into the water next to the GUR building on Fisherman’s Island in Kyiv was followed by sour comments on Ukrainian social networks – allegedly, the Russians missed.
This result is a big part of why Zelensky pursued annihilation of Ukrainian young men and virtual banishment of everyone else. Ukraine has lost about 50% of its population to death and flight from the region, to which most say they will never return. Arguably the most corrupt nation in the world has been destroyed and is now being dismembered. It was never a model of democracy and Zelensky was never a hero. The most we can hope for now is no WW3 which is all too possible due to NATO/neocon intransigence, KOBK madness. ABN
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