Everything below is a Twatter feed. I don’t know how to format it better. ABN
1 yr ago today, Dr. Ioannidis wrote the below. I read it that day, agreed with nearly every word, and still do. Worth revisiting in full, but I’ve captured a few key quotes below along with my own commentary
My favorite, which sums up the last yr:
“we dont know how long social distancing measures and lockdowns can be maintained without major consequences to the economy, society, and mental health. Unpredictable evolutions may ensue, including financial crisis, unrest, civil strife, war, and a meltdown of the social fabric”
“How long, though, should measures like these be continued if the pandemic churns across the globe unabated”
I’d love to know. We never should have implemented such devastating & unprecedented “temporary” measures without defined exit criteria.
“How can policymakers tell if they are doing more harm than good”
Good question. See CA/FL
On lockdowns- “totally irrational. It’s like an elephant being attacked by a house cat. Frustrated and trying to avoid the cat, the elephant accidentally jumps off a cliff and dies.”
On deaths-“in an autopsy series that tested for resp viruses in specimens…who died during the 2016 to 2017 influenza season…respiratory virus was found in 47%.”
“A positive test for coronavirus does not mean…[the virus] is primarily responsible for a patient’s demise”
On the possibility of long lockdown- “life largely stops, short-term and long-term consequences are entirely unknown, and billions, not just millions, of lives may be eventually at stake”
Right; as I’ve said there’s a reason no one has ever attempted to halt society before
“If we decide to jump off the cliff, we need some data to inform us about the rationale of such an action and the chances of landing somewhere safe”
Agreed. I’m still waiting for someone to show the cost/benefit analysis they undertook prior to a decision to lockdown.
When the history books are written on our COVID response, they will spell vindication for Dr. Ioannidis & others brave enough to fight the mass hysteria. For the next decade, replace the word “pandemic” with “lockdown” in every article you read about the disaster created.