Chess.com CEO “…this wild ride is not even close to over”

This is all about cheating in chess tournaments, especially top tournaments. I have read that a good magician or someone with those skills would be able to smuggle a “chess engine” into a tournament in their shoe sole and activate it with foot movements. Another possibility is someone in the room could signal a player or someone outside could aim a tiny laser at a window, etc. At present, most agree protections against cheating are inadequate. We can be pretty sure lag time between board moves and broadcasts will be increased from 15 min to 30 min. Chess.com is central to this issue because Niemann, who is suspected of cheating, has a record of online play at chess.com where algorithms are able to distinguish computer moves from human ones. If there are enough computer moves in a player’s history, the charge of cheating is all but established. There is a moral issue in this and how severely to punish cheaters. Right now top players rely on mutual trust more than other protections against cheating. This is the basics of why there is so much to-do about this. ABN

The most incriminating evidence against Hans Niemann

Continue reading “Chess.com CEO “…this wild ride is not even close to over””

CARLSEN ON THE NIEMANN DRAMA: NOT GOING TO SAY EVERYTHING [translated from Norwegian]

Carlsen led 2.5-0.5 from day one of the final and needed two points ahead of the four-game digital rapid chess final on Sunday. He won the first two games and secured his fourth triumph on the tour so far this year.

After the victory was a fact, the Norwegian was asked about what has sent shock waves through the chess world recently. When asked in TV 2’s chess broadcast whether he thinks it is right that Niemann is allowed to participate in the next tournament on the “tour”, he replied:

– I am not going to change my point of view on whether I want to play against him or not, but I am not the one who invites players to tournaments. Those decisions are made by others.

In the group stage earlier in the week, Carlsen met the American Hans Niemann. There, the Norwegian lost on purpose after two moves.

TV 2’s chess expert Jon Ludvig Hammer expects that Niemann will compete in the next tournament as well, and that Carlsen will withdraw from the meeting with the American again.

Continue reading “CARLSEN ON THE NIEMANN DRAMA: NOT GOING TO SAY EVERYTHING [translated from Norwegian]”

Uncertainty in human social interactions

All human interactions entail some uncertainty and most entail a lot.

To deal with uncertainty, humans use heuristics (“rules of thumb”) that generally are based on what they perceive to be normal or required in the situation at hand. These heuristics come from experience, from role models, from organizational structures, beliefs and so on.

A recent study—Uncertainty about social interactions leads to the evolution of social heuristics—explores:

…an evolutionary simulation model, showing that even intermediate uncertainty leads to the evolution of simple cooperation strategies that disregard information about the social interaction (‘social heuristics’).

This study uses simulations to tease out how social heuristics and social cooperation evolve in very simple game scenarios.

If social games have rules, we can change how much uncertainty they contain and how best to cooperate within them.

This is essentially what FIML practice does. FIML greatly reduces interpersonal uncertainty between partners while increasing cooperation by having a few fairly simple rules.

When uncertainty is lowered and cooperation increased between partners, psychological well-being and understanding is proportionally enhanced. This happens because social interaction and communication are basic to human psychology.

The study linked above employs simulations to show a sort mathematically forced evolutionary outcome arising from initial settings. I believe FIML is similar in this respect, though the FIML game involves complex humans rather than simple sims.

I often wonder why no one has discovered the rules of FIML before. So many great thinkers, but not one found these key rules for optimal communication and psychological understanding. I believe there are two basics reasons for this: 1) FIML requires developing dynamic metacognition during real-time real-life communication events and this takes practice; and 2) most great thinkers that we know about today and hence could learn from also had great status, and this prevented them from noticing the deep flaws in interpersonal communication that FIML corrects.

first posted JUNE 1, 2018

“The Russians have placed the Ukrainian military in an unsolvable tactical dilemma that they’re not likely to resolve any time soon. The effectiveness of this is manifest. Ukrainian casualties are heavier than ever and the Russians aren’t under time pressure to finish”

Time to talk about tactics, and specifically about how the Russians have adapted theirs to present the Ukrainian military with an unsolvable tactical dilemma rather than any kind of a fair fight.

This is what smart militaries do.

Massed force only goes so far in war. Used ineptly the only thing it produces is a lot of casualties.

Competent commanders refine their tactics to ensure victory. Ideally you want to present the enemy with not just a solvable problem but an unsolvable dilemma.

Continue reading ““The Russians have placed the Ukrainian military in an unsolvable tactical dilemma that they’re not likely to resolve any time soon. The effectiveness of this is manifest. Ukrainian casualties are heavier than ever and the Russians aren’t under time pressure to finish””

CHINA: Shanghai lockdown starts again; real reason unclear

Shanghai, China: Shanghai will lock down a district of 2.7 million people on Saturday to conduct mass coronavirus testing, city authorities said, as the Chinese metropolis struggles to fully emerge from punishing curbs.

The city eased many restrictions last week, after confining most of its 25 million residents to their homes since March as China battled its worst Covid outbreak in two years.

link

We can only guess at the real reason for the many lockdowns in China. A major guess is they are serving as domestic discipline in preparation for war, either aggressive or defensive. Or preparation for a major economic crash due to war or not. Since zero-covid is not possible, there must be some other reason than the ones given by Chinese authorities. Is Xi Jinping an obsessed germophobe and that’s the reason?

One thing is certain: there is great tension among and between the world’s top three military powers—USA, Russia, China. In KOBK game theory, if two of those players team up and attack the third, they probably will win the first round. But even if two of them are teamed up, as many believe China and Russia are, how can they be sure their partner is not double-crossing them? However you look at it, all three of these top players must be tempted to do a first strike with overwhelming nukes on the other two. China probably does not have the weaponry to do that. Russia and USA do. China has manpower, so if teamed with Russia a first strike on USA would be followed up with an invasion of Chinese troops into North America. ABN

Scott Ritter’s Switcheroo: “Why I Radically Changed My Overall Assessment”

On Sunday, the foreign policy blogs were abuzz with the news that Scott Ritter had done “an about-face in his assessment of the war”. It appears that the ex-Marine had examined recent developments in Ukraine and concluded that it’s going to be much harder for Russia to win than he had originally thought..

Naturally, the news of Ritter’s reversal sent shockwaves across the internet, especially among the people who follow events in Ukraine closely and who greatly admire his even-handed analysis. Some of these people clearly felt betrayed by Ritter’s comments and blasted him as a “concern troll” which refers to a person who feigns sympathy while actually feeling the opposite. This is a terrible way to treat a guy who’s devoted so much of his time to informing people about an issue of which they might know very little without his research. Besides, Ritter is no hypocrite. Quite the contrary.

link

…IMHO, Scott Ritter is gradually adjusting to the idea that the conflict in Ukraine is not a just regional skirmish between two quarrelsome neighbors, nor is it a proxy-war between NATO and Russia. No. Ukraine is the first phase of a broader plan for crushing Russia, collapsing its economy, removing its leaders, seizing its natural resources, splintering its territory, and projecting US power across Central Asia to the Pacific Rim. Ukraine is about hegemony, empire, and pure, unalloyed power. Most important, Ukraine is the first battle in a Third World War, a war that was concocted and launched by Washington to ensure another unchallenged century of American primacy.

link

Sunday Talks, Finland President Sauli Niinistö Indicates a Global Cleaving Behind Decision to Join NATO

…The important part to watch is if this cleaving continues, there are going to be two sets of nations with two structurally different economies.  An oil based energy group and a group chasing the Build Back Better, Green New Deal, human population control mechanisms under the ruse of climate change.

Behind the G7 and NATO, we know the multinational corporations assembled in the World Economic Forum are ultimately the driver of political policy. The central bankers, finance ministers and politicians all operate under the guidelines of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), World Bank (WB) and World Trade Organization (WTO).

Together the WEF, IMF, WB, WTO, EU central banks and U.S. federal reserve, collectively represent what we call the globalists.  And the globalists are pushing the climate change agenda hard {WEF LINK}.

It is important to remember the ultimate goal of the ‘climate change’ promotors (World Economic Forum) is not an energy system that changes the global climate. The goal of the ‘climate change’ group is to create a carbon trading system; a new financial mechanism (a global tax program) to control human activity on a world-wide basis.  This system also needs a digital identity in order to work {hint-hint}.

As a consequence, when we look at the fracturing of the global energy marketplace, it is worth viewing the divided group through the prism of the globalist carbon trading scheme.

The oil-based energy group is going to have a strong strategic advantage in production costs.  They will continue using oil, coal and gas (economic fuels), which are abundant, cheap and the infrastructure is already in place.

link w video

This entire essay (not long) is well-worth reading. I have excerpted a considerable sample because it says so much about what is going on in the world today and into the future. An election was stolen and ever since USA is going straight downhill no brakes. None of this will benefit ordinary citizens. The nation-state with a healthy and well-informed polity is an irreplaceable barrier against dictatorship, the faceless totalitarianism of one-world government. I think China sees this and is gearing up for war or at least preparing for war. What NATO is doing is pure KOBK strategy. It constitutes a profound threat to Russia, China, and more. A KOBK move demands a KOBK response. Just as USA is being destroyed, so is the world. This is not happening because our “leaders” are incompetent; they are puppets, all of them. The reptilians are in control. ABN

FLASHBACK: Resident Biden sometime in December 2021

Intelligence community, one million doctors, election officials, Resident Biden, his handlers, a feckless Congress that pursues only own wealth, all liars and thieves, they have taken us to our lowest point as a nation. Yes, a few are good but these organizations are all rotten and bringing about our ruination. The cause is 70 years of narcissists mentoring mediocre underlings who do not threaten them. The even deeper cause is an all but invisible enemy who has promoted our downfall through asymmetric warfare. ABN

Col Douglas MacGregor: “We’re in the final phase of this war”; also expresses concern that when US has to face blatant falsity of months of their own propaganda, they may lash out in fear and panic

This short segment is from a couple of days ago, but still worth watching. MacGregor knows full well that the Western elite is not going to take defeat honorably. My sense is we are already pivoting into their manufactured economic crash, which will be blamed on Putin and also used to conceal lies about Ukraine, Hunter, covid, covid maltreatment, corruption, election fraud, and our senile resident in chief. ABN

Preprogramming the world to accept biometric slavery; a classic mind-control technique that tells you what is going to happen, thereby causing many to believe it is inevitable

WEF Speaker Yuval Noah Harari: “Covid is critical, because this is what convinces people to accept, to legitimize total biometric surveillance…. The next phase is the surveillance going under our skin…. We are really acquiring divine powers”
https://t.co/QHxK1Rndse

Originally tweeted by FMnews (@FMnews_) on April 16, 2022.

Covid itself was preprogrammed as were covid vaccines as the only way to treat covid. Mass covid fear and panic were preprogrammed in movies and talks by a famous billionaire and others. Nuclear war is being preprogrammed right now. Nukes will fly if the WEF bitches are genuinely threatened with full exposure and total defeat. They epitomize KOBK game theory. For them, this is a zero-sum game. It’s kill-or-be-killed. There is no other game. That is what we are up against. ABN

Continue reading “Preprogramming the world to accept biometric slavery; a classic mind-control technique that tells you what is going to happen, thereby causing many to believe it is inevitable”

The importance of fuzzy lines in maintaining a sane world

Online speech restrictions make sense up to a point. There is a reasonable line in there somewhere. Twitter is going way to far in only one direction, so almost all of us see its restrictions are unreasonable and probably unsustainable. This situation illustrates 1) the importance of lines, and 2) that lines are necessarily fuzzy, and 3) that even fuzzy lines have to be firm in the right places.

Over the past six decades, USA has waffled too much on our fuzzy lines, both legal and cultural. Fuzzy lines are hard to draw and hard to keep firm. Trump’s border wall is an example of a successful firm fuzzy line as were his immigration policies. TBH, gay marriage probably went to far. It crossed a fuzzy line of accepting homosexuality probably too much. Once crossed, all manner of gender “rights” have made even human identities fuzzy. Today, “abortion rights” are even beginning to include the right to kill your “perinatal” infant.

In thinking about fuzzy lines it is crucial that we all recognize that all cultures are fundamentally held together by Lowest Common Denominator behavioral rules and as such are kind of stupid and very easy to attack. All cultures are held together with fuzzy lines. No culture is perfect. All cultures can be destabilized by constantly pushing against their fuzzy lines. Some pushing is good. Too much pushing is bad. Don’t make perfect be the enemy of good enough. Don’t allow woke to be the enemy of reason. Or anyone’s sexuality or identity the enemy of a reasonably well-functioning society. It’s not easy to do this right but it is not impossible either and it must be done or chaos ensues. ABN