How the CDC is hiding vaccine safety signals by “defining them away”: Matthew B Crawford

At some point, when the potential for conflicts of interest are high and the point of failure is fundamental to the task of those doing the job, incompetence should no longer be differentiated from criminal intent. Mathematicians and statisticians worthy of the title do not miss the kind of scale invariance or mean-reversion we see embedded in the PRR—particularly not when working in a dedicated group on a serious problem. There is a pride among geeks in identifying subtle mathematical or logical flaws in a system, and this is not subtle at all. Given that even psychologists have a need to pay attention to scale invariance, this is not an easily excused mistake. In fact, a computational check of the PRR function against past data likely would have clued in a middling programmer without the fundamental mathematical training. And we’re not done, yet…

…Calling this a safety system is decidedly unsafe. Even worse—given that numerous academics, including statisticians, reviewed this document, it is hard to believe that the scale invariance embedded in the definition of PRR, or the logic that includes meeting multiple criteria at the same time, went unnoticed. It certainly appears that the CDC’s goal was to establish an illusion of safety, and a reason to ignore the true signs of danger. At best, they unfathomably hired nobody whose job it was to remain independently-minded who could clue them in?

If my understanding of this situation is correct, the mass vaccination program should be immediately halted until the safety data is gathered, cleaned, and examined. We cannot tolerate a misleading statement of “vaccines are safe and effective” in the face of regulatory agencies defining away the responsibility of performing the risk analysis needed to verify safety. The CDC leadership should be immediately replaced and investigated, and independent analysts should reformulate the task of tracking vaccine safety results.

Defining Away Vaccine Safety Signals

Scientists and mathematicians, please read this paper. This is an intellectual smoking gun! Ordinary readers, it is not hard to follow this analysis. Well worth reading. Here is Crawford’s spicy rebuttal to critics: Defining Away Vaccine Safety Signals Part 2. ABN

Thoughts on censorship – how it is actually working in our favour

Some observations:

1) I am more hesitant to post content in public spaces because I do not always have energy to do deep research needed to debunk fact-checking responses.

2) I am more cautious about what I post, as I don’t enjoy being publicly shown to have made an error (which many readers will assume to have occurred if I don’t reply to factcheck type criticisms)

3) As a result, I am slowing down. Sure, some things which would be in the public interest to be publicised are getting past me, but the quality of the posts I am making publicly is going up.

Ditto everything above for face to face conversations.

Basically the “fact-checking” and censorship is making me carefully double-check my conclusions before making any kind of public statement. If others are doing the same, this means that the quality of argument being presented from the side of those who question the mainstream narrative is being consistently improved and strengthened.

I think this explains the recent media debacle around Ivermectin. It is getting increasingly difficult for them to create the illusion of fact-checking, and as a result they are panicking and getting careless. This is making even more people start to pay attention. For example, my sister has started to research Ivermectin following conversation with me. (She is very trusting and has taken the Vax. All her information sources are mainstream). This weekend I was able to show her that almost everything she had read about Ivy in the mainstream is unreliable at best, and deliberately fradulent at worst. As a result I see the early signs of her beginning to question what she is being told.

So my take-away from this is, let us recognise the opportunity in the censorship, and just keep making it harder and harder for them to debunk the increasingly coherent and compelling arguments mounting against the media narrative. I still believe that Ivermectin is the key to unlocking the conspiracy around vaccines, covid, the election, and all the other malfeasance that lead up to what are increasingly looking like pre-meditated crimes.

link to original with comments

Important background on HCQ REPRESSION and how glaring it was

In February of 2020, China reported the general success of numerous clinical trials for treating COVID-19 patients with chloroquine (CQ) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ). Chinese health officials voted unanimously to institute a chloroquine protocol as the standard of care for COVID-19 patients. That same month, both China and South Korea publicly committed to medicating COVID-19 patients with HCQ and CQ. By that time, many rationale papers (hereherehereherehereherehereherehere, and one by the world’s most published infectious disease expert) had already been published in the medical literature recommending one or both of HCQ and CQ as promising drugs for treating novel or known coronaviruses (generally as well as specifically SARS-CoV-2).

However, it is a curious fact that the Western media found nothing at all interesting worth reporting about any of that through the first 78 days of 2020.

The Curious Calm Before the Storm

This is a very good article detailing the successful use of HCQ in China and Korea while at the same time HCQ was being studiously ignored by Western MSM. It was not until DJT promoted HCQ that Western media turned savagely on the treatment as well as on the president. The article is not long but has many links to sources, so it provides a very good picture of what happened. ABN

How deep state and extra-state actors work to control your mind

ACLU comes out in SUPPORT of vaccine mandates. If you want to know if an organization is infiltrated by Cabal, just ask yourself if the organization would pose a threat to Cabal’s illegal intelligence operation if it were run honestly, and honestly pursued its stated goals. If so, Cabal then saw that too, infiltrated it with their agents, and turned it into a honeypot to give them a heads up on anybody who wanted to take them on.


U.S. Intel Hits Biden Again, Leak Transcript and Recording of Call With President Ghani – Biden: “there is a need, whether it is true or not, there is a need to project a different picture”

Team-One (State Dept, CIA, Intel Community) continue to pummel Team-Two (Biden, WH, Pentagon, NSC) with leaks to media.

After Joe Biden delivered his speech to the nation claiming no-one saw the collapse of the Afghan government coming, the intel group leak the transcript and recording of a July 23rd phone call between Biden and Afghan President Ashraf Ghani showing everything Biden said today was a lie.


Milley & Levine went to HS together; why elites conform

It is a small world up there, and they don’t necessarily tell you that – ‘White Rage’ General Mark Milley and transgender Health Secretary Rachel Levine played football together in high school. It was actually a small elite private school which costs $55-60K per year, and has tons of notable students, from screenwriter David Kelley (Michele Pfeiffer’s husband), to Mitt Romney’s brother, to a President of Yale, to a President of the New England Patriots, to a Boston Globe editor, to Deepak Chopra’s kid. I could see surveillance liking that it could get all these kids in one spot to watch them, and parents putting their kids in these schools as much to give them to surveillance and let surveillance watch them to get control, so they could one day be promoted, as to help them make connections and get educated.

Dr Malone on the ignoble “noble lie” and its dire consequences for public health (and trust)

The basic problem with this noble lie is it does not improve public health but rather harms it greatly. If the vaccines were very good and if all the other bad covid policies they have been lying about were very good, the noble lie could be morally and medically justified if the public is so stupid it is not capable of understanding the truth. Since none of that is true, the noble lie is a complete failure in itself and, what’s worse, its ramifications will continue causing widespread harm for many decades to come. ABN

Here is the full video. The segment isolated above starts at 1:53:12.

From the White House: Dubious photo Tweeted for unclear reasons. Moscow time is wrong

This morning, the President and Vice President met with their national security team and senior officials to hear updates on the draw down of our civilian personnel in Afghanistan, evacuations of SIV applicants and other Afghan allies, and the ongoing security situation in Kabul.

Originally tweeted by The White House (@WhiteHouse) on August 15, 2021.

I just checked and, yes, Moscow time in the photo is 3 hrs different from London when it should be 2 hrs different at this time of year. Besides that, does this lonely old man inspire confidence in anyone? Sad to see and even sadder to contemplate that he appears to not even realize he is no longer competent to do his job. If this is photoshopped, it’s scandalous. If the time is “just wrong” because it is, not much better. ABN