- there is going to be an outcome
- the best outcome would be a neutral Ukraine with historically Russian areas in the east leaving Ukraine, becoming either independent or joining the Russian Federation
- all parties should seek to achieve this end and to end the violence as soon as possible
- KOBK game theory rules are fully in play; Putin initiated the kinetic conflict because he saw no other good option; even if we disagree, his position is rational
- the longer we wait, the more he will demand because: a) he saw his initiation of kinetic conflict as a forced KOBK move and b) having done that, he is all but forced to continue
- USA/EU/NATO are not forced by KOBK rules or any others to retaliate with violence since they have much less to gain than Putin has to lose
- USA/EU/NATO/Zelensky may not want Putin to “win”, yet the sooner they allow this to happen the sooner the violence will stop and a workable long-term outcome can be realized. they can win morally, humanely, and reasonably in this way
- to encourage more war and violence against Putin and Russia only escalates the fighting and delays achieving a good outcome
- the situation is binary in many practical respects, but if all factors are considered it is much more a chaos of causes
- if we consider what populations are where on the ground (Ukrainian, Russian), it is fairly easy to see where the division of Ukraine should be
- if we consider the history of Ukraine and Russia, we can see that an amicable outcome is very possible
- this outcome will include both states having access to the Black Sea
ABN
American Buddhist Net 