No reasonable person in the EU wants this outcome, no ordinary citizen in the U.K wants war with Russia and only a tiny percentage of Americans would support it.
However, 80% of the British/EU political class and around 75% of the Washington DC political class would immediately welcome this outcome.
Europe is burning through their spending of the confiscated €300 billion Russian sovereign wealth fund. The money will be completely gone within a year as it is the funding mechanism for almost all Ukraine support.
When you think about this in very practical terms, this makes the EU war against Russia a foregone conclusion.
In my opinion, the decision to spend that confiscated Russian asset wealth is what changed in early June when Zelenskyy visited King Charles in London. What was once avoidable is now ultimately only a matter of time.
Unless someone is willing to step into the finance side and repay Russia, a western conflict with the Russian Federation to avoid the issue seems to be the overwhelming likelihood.
In the interim, Eastern Ukraine remains a meat grinder.
‘…Eastern Ukraine remains a meat grinder‘
The deeper point is all of Europe will become a meatgrinder. It’s not about money. ABN