Russia declares expanded war goals beyond Ukraine’s Donbas

LONDON (Reuters) -Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said on Wednesday that Moscow’s military “tasks” in Ukraine now went beyond the eastern Donbas region, in the clearest acknowledgment yet that it has expanded its war goals.

In an interview with state media nearly five months after Russia’s invasion, the foreign minister also said peace talks made no sense at the moment because Western governments were leaning on Ukraine to fight rather than negotiate.

link

Half of Americans expect a second U.S. civil war within YEARS, more than 40% agree with ‘great replacement theory’ and nearly a fifth expect they will choose to bring a gun to a violent political row, alarming poll shows

50.1 percent expect to see a second American Civil War within years

More than 40 percent favor a ‘strong leader’ over democracy and adhere to immigrant takeover belief

One fifth expect to be gun-toting at a January 6 Capitol riot-style melee in the coming years 

California university researchers say results ‘exceeded our worst expectations’

Study follows mass shootings and comes amid controversial Washington hearings into January 6 insurrection

link

Russia is one of the few countries in the world & the only major power to still field Railway Troops

We often discuss the all important supply lines, & in the case of #Russia, the railways. RU is one of the few countries in the world & the only major power to still field Railway Troops (In NATO, only Italy has a small regiment w 2 railway engineer companies). Given Russia’s vast

geography, heavy use of artillery, especially rocket artillery (very supply intensive), limited number of military trucks, and relatively sparse road system the army depends on the railways. From their Imperial Tsarist beginnings, through the Soviet era & up until today, the

Railway Troops have undergone many changes & been part of various ministries. Their modern iteration begins in 1995 when they are established as an independent Federal Service & strengthened. By 1999 they include 4 railway corps, with 28 railway brigades (+ other elements).

Continue reading “Russia is one of the few countries in the world & the only major power to still field Railway Troops”

In Eurasia, the War of Economic Corridors Is in Full Swing

The War of Economic Corridors is now proceeding full speed ahead, with the game-changing first cargo flow of goods from Russia to India via the International North South Transportation Corridor (INSTC) already in effect.

Very few, both in the east and west, are aware of how this actually has long been in the making: the Russia-Iran-India agreement for implementing a shorter and cheaper Eurasian trade route via the Caspian Sea (compared to the Suez Canal), was first signed in 2000, in the pre-9/11 era.

The INSTC in full operational mode signals a powerful hallmark of Eurasian integration – alongside the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), and last but not least, what I described as “Pipelineistan” two decades ago.

link

Four United States stealth bombers arrive in Australia in a dramatic show of force to the Indo-Pacific – before the military has yet another encounter with a Chinese warship

US B-2A stealth bombers landed at a Queensland RAAF base for joint exercises 

The USAF move is intended to be a warning show of strength to China’s leaders

Their arrival comes as another Australian warship is stalked by Chinese military

Chinese aircraft, ships and submarines all chased HMAS Parramatta in open seas

link

Military thought experiment Part 1

The game: Gain control of a large society by using a small number of military operatives.

Let’s use clandestine military operatives numbering .0001 of the targeted society.

100 million times .0001 = 10,000.

So 10,000 clandestine military operatives will play this game to win against a society with a population of 100 million.

The clandestine force can achieve its goal by:

  • infiltrating and blending into the large society
  • distributing 10,000 clandestine operatives widely across the society
  • this may take several generations
  • once in place, operatives identify natural leaders inside the host society
  • then they attack those natural leaders in such a way that they become poor leaders
  • this is better than killing them because they are rendered ineffective while their weaknesses demoralize others in the community
  • this method of attack is unlikely to be detected by law enforcement
  • they must be attacked in ways that are not easily discoverable, including socially, financially, reputationally, through bad grades, misdirection, poison, maiming, psychosurgery, and so on
  • it is best to begin attacking natural leaders while they are young and continue as long as effective, even for many decades
  • this tactic is greatly facilitated by hostile operatives being born and raised in the large society
  • at the same time operatives work to help those who favor their cause(s) or position(s)
  • this might include harming the competitors of those people being favored
  • within 20-30 years, social disorganization will be noticeable due to the large number of disabled natural leaders
  • within 50 years social disorganization will be obvious
  • during the same time-frame, people favored by the hostile operatives will gain positions of power
  • soon, the larger society will succumb to the hostile takeover and a small number of military operatives will have won against a much larger society

The cost is minimal and the methods are almost undetectable. Once achieved, the goal can be proclaimed a victory by those who gained it.

While the goal is being pursued, operatives will discover ways to extract resources from the host society, thus paying their own way without funding from abroad.

Part 1

Part 2

Part 3

Part 4

Part 5

Part 6

Part 7


first posted April 6, 2017

“The Russians have placed the Ukrainian military in an unsolvable tactical dilemma that they’re not likely to resolve any time soon. The effectiveness of this is manifest. Ukrainian casualties are heavier than ever and the Russians aren’t under time pressure to finish”

Time to talk about tactics, and specifically about how the Russians have adapted theirs to present the Ukrainian military with an unsolvable tactical dilemma rather than any kind of a fair fight.

This is what smart militaries do.

Massed force only goes so far in war. Used ineptly the only thing it produces is a lot of casualties.

Competent commanders refine their tactics to ensure victory. Ideally you want to present the enemy with not just a solvable problem but an unsolvable dilemma.

Continue reading ““The Russians have placed the Ukrainian military in an unsolvable tactical dilemma that they’re not likely to resolve any time soon. The effectiveness of this is manifest. Ukrainian casualties are heavier than ever and the Russians aren’t under time pressure to finish””

Heads of MI5 and FBI warn of threat posed by China in first ever joint speech: Security chiefs say they are facing ‘game changing challenge’ from communist party which is ‘covertly applying pressure across the globe’

MI5 director Ken McCallum and FBI chief Christopher Wray in historic address

Heads of security agencies used joint speech to warn of China’s long-term risk

Ruling CCP pose a ‘game changing challenge’ to the established world order 

link

Notable because it’s a joint statement. Also notable is it’s from two agencies I do not trust about a third I do not trust either. I do not believe any of us below the very top know what is really going on. Recall that covid is almost certainly either a US bioweapon, a Chinese bioweapon or one concocted by both and release deliberately or not. That is one wobbling foundation upon which to divine the planetary drama playing out today. Covid allowed China to hide its defeat in its trade war with Trump. It also provided cover for our domestic cabal to steal the presidential election. Every factor you can think of cuts two, three, four ways minimum. That said, Chinese spying is ferocious and very widespread. What’s weird about that is they are spying on Western institutions that have already been infiltrated and taken over by someone else. Who wants world domination most? Even if you don’t want it, who wants to be dominated? No question, we have before us one of the greatest illustrations of the First Noble Truth ever manifested in the human realm. ABN